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Chiatura vs Mark Stars Tbilisi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 2017 game between Chiatura and Mark Stars Tbilisi finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mark Stars Tbilisi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Chiatura
30%
Draws
58%
Mark Stars Tbilisi
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mark Stars Tbilisi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mark Stars Tbilisi come out ahead of Chiatura on wins alone.
  • Model gives Mark Stars Tbilisi a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Chiatura Clean Sheet 14%
Mark Stars Tbilisi Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chiatura Mark Stars Tbilisi
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 5 11
Draws 8 5
Losses 19 14
Goals Scored 0.78 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.84 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2018 Liga 3
Mark Stars Tbilisi vs Chiatura
0:0
May 13, 2018 Liga 3
Chiatura vs Mark Stars Tbilisi
0:0
Oct 26, 2017 Liga 3
Mark Stars Tbilisi vs Chiatura
4:0
Sep 19, 2017 Liga 3
Chiatura vs Mark Stars Tbilisi
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chiatura 10 / 100
Mark Stars Tbilisi 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chiatura Mark Stars Tbilisi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mark Stars Tbilisi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mark Stars Tbilisi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Chiatura scored in 56% of their last 32 outings.

Solid form: Chiatura remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Chiatura VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Chiatura

(Home)
02 Dec
Guria
2 : 1
Chiatura
25 Nov
Chiatura
0 : 0
Spaeri
18 Nov
Dusheti
3 : 0
Chiatura
11 Nov
Chiatura
1 : 1
Gori
04 Nov
Kolkheti 1913
5 : 0
Chiatura
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Mark Stars Tbilisi

(Away)
06 Dec
Mark Stars Tbilisi
4 : 3
Bakhmaro Chokhatauri
30 Nov
Sulori Vani
1 : 0
Mark Stars Tbilisi
20 Nov
Mark Stars Tbilisi
3 : 0
Borjomi
12 Nov
Algeti Marneuli
3 : 3
Mark Stars Tbilisi
06 Nov
Mark Stars Tbilisi
3 : 1
Gori
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shevardeni Tbilisi 18 13 4 1 49:10 43
2 Telavi 18 12 3 3 56:15 39
3 Merani Tbilisi 18 12 3 3 45:21 39
4 FC Gardabani 18 9 4 5 40:18 31
5 Mark Stars Tbilisi 18 7 3 8 37:32 24
6 Khoni 18 5 6 7 13:26 21
7 Chiatura 18 5 2 11 15:33 17
8 Betlemi Keda 18 4 4 10 23:44 16
9 FC Kolkheti Khobi 18 3 4 11 9:39 13
10 Samegrelo 18 1 5 12 12:61 8
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2018 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2017 (Relegation)