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Chiatura vs Tbilisi City

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 2021 game between Chiatura and Tbilisi City finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tbilisi City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Chiatura
6%
Draws
90%
Tbilisi City
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Tbilisi City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Chiatura haven't matched Tbilisi City's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Tbilisi City taking it.
  • Regular Liga 3 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Chiatura Clean Sheet 20%
Tbilisi City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chiatura Tbilisi City
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 11
Draws 6 5
Losses 19 16
Goals Scored 0 1.25
Goals Conceded 0 1.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2021 Liga 3
Chiatura vs Tbilisi City
2:3
Apr 2, 2021 Liga 3
Tbilisi City vs Chiatura
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chiatura 10 / 100
Tbilisi City 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chiatura Tbilisi City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TBI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chiatura scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Tbilisi City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Difficult form: Tbilisi City registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Tbilisi City
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Chiatura

(Home)
02 Dec
Guria
2 : 1
Chiatura
25 Nov
Chiatura
0 : 0
Spaeri
18 Nov
Dusheti
3 : 0
Chiatura
11 Nov
Chiatura
1 : 1
Gori
04 Nov
Kolkheti 1913
5 : 0
Chiatura
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Tbilisi City

(Away)
27 May
Shukura 2
2 : 1
Tbilisi City
01 Dec
Tbilisi City
6 : 0
Zestafoni
24 Nov
Dinamo Tbilisi 2
4 : 1
Tbilisi City
17 Nov
Tbilisi City
1 : 2
FC Merani-91 Tbilisi II
10 Nov
Guria
0 : 1
Tbilisi City
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Spaeri26204279:2064
2Kolkheti 191326147554:2849
3Tbilisi City26136746:3045
4FC Tbilisi 202526125943:3741
5Dusheti261241037:3240
6Gori26108833:3338
7Iberia 1999 226108853:3638
8Bakhmaro Chokhatauri2689926:3333
9FC Kolkheti Khobi26613732:3931
10Meshakhte Tkibuli26861231:4230
11Guria26851333:4429
12FC Merani-91 Tbilisi II26841433:5028
13Chiatura26561523:4621
14Didube26351825:7814
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2022 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2021 (Relegation)