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Chiba vs Cheng Fung - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Macao Macao

Elite League
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Clement A.
41' Event
Mafus S.

AI Match Summary

The Elite League game between Chiba and Cheng Fung finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Chiba
30%
Draws
23%
Cheng Fung
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chiba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Chiba come out ahead of Cheng Fung on wins alone.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Chiba taking it.
  • Regular Elite League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Chiba Clean Sheet 12%
Cheng Fung Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chiba Cheng Fung
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 8
Draws 5 9
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 2.73 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.53 2.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Elite League
Chiba vs Cheng Fung
1:1
Mar 22, 2026 Elite League
Cheng Fung vs Chiba
2:5
May 11, 2025 Elite League
Chiba vs Cheng Fung
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chiba Compare

Top Goalscorer Mafus S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Cheng Fung Compare

Top Goalscorer Clement A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chiba 83 / 100
Cheng Fung 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chiba Cheng Fung

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chiba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chiba found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Cheng Fung let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Cheng Fung lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chiba VS Cheng Fung
2.13 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Chiba

(Home)
26 Jul
Chiba
0 : 5
Must IPO
19 Jul
Chiba
6 : 0
G. Universe
11 Jul
Gala
3 : 0
Chiba
05 Jul
Chiba
1 : 1
Cheng Fung
28 Jun
Benfica
2 : 1
Chiba
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Cheng Fung

(Away)
25 Jul
Cheng Fung
2 : 2
University of Macau
18 Jul
Cheng Fung
0 : 4
Shao Jiang
11 Jul
Cheng Fung
1 : 6
Must IPO
05 Jul
Chiba
1 : 1
Cheng Fung
27 Jun
Cheng Fung
1 : 4
Gala
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