Sport Picks
Match Events
11'
11'
Sub
Fofana M. In: Ushizawa T.
Out: Fofana M.
45'
45'
Matheus Leiria
59'
59'
Sub
Hidaka M. In: Ishio R.
Out: Hidaka M.
AI Match Summary
Mito in this J1 League 2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mito.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chiba
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Mito have won more games recently than Chiba.
- Win probability leans Chiba's way, sitting at 36%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Chiba Clean Sheet 18%
Mito Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chiba | Mito |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 10 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 19 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1.33 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.67 | 1.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 11, 2026 J1 League
Chiba vs Mito
1:2
Feb 22, 2026 J1 League
Mito vs Chiba
2:1
Oct 19, 2025 J2 League
Mito vs Chiba
0:1
Apr 5, 2025 J2 League
Chiba vs Mito
2:1
Sep 7, 2024 J2 League
Chiba vs Mito
4:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chiba Compare
Top Goalscorer Yasui T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Mito Compare
Top Goalscorer Matheus Leiria
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chiba 36 / 100
Mito 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chiba Mito
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mito let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.
Mito's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.
Attacking prowess: Chiba scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Chiba VS Mito
1 Goals Scored 0.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Chiba
(Home) 08 Aug
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3 : 0 Chiba
01 Aug
Chiba
0 : 1 Kashiwa Reysol
06 Jun
Chiba
1 : 2 Avispa Fukuoka
30 May
Avispa Fukuoka
2 : 2 Chiba
23 May
Kashiwa Reysol
4 : 2 Chiba
Page 1 of 6
01 Aug
Chiba
0 : 1 Kashiwa Reysol
06 Jun
Chiba
1 : 2 Avispa Fukuoka
17 May
Chiba
0 : 2 Kashima Antlers
10 May
Chiba
0 : 2 Machida Zelvia
29 Apr
Chiba
2 : 3 Yokohama F. Marinos
Page 1 of 4
Mito
(Away) 08 Aug
Kashiwa Reysol
2 : 1 Mito
06 Jun
Mito
0 : 1 V-Varen Nagasaki
30 May
V-Varen Nagasaki
1 : 0 Mito
24 May
Mito
1 : 3 Kawasaki Frontale
16 May
Mito
0 : 1 Verdy
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Kashiwa Reysol
2 : 1 Mito
30 May
V-Varen Nagasaki
1 : 0 Mito
06 May
Kashima Antlers
3 : 0 Mito
02 May
Yokohama F. Marinos
1 : 2 Mito
24 Apr
FC Tokyo
5 : 2 Mito
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 31:11 | 45 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 32:18 | 37 |
| 3 | Machida Zelvia | 18 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 28:22 | 37 |
| 4 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 26:28 | 28 |
| 5 | Verdy | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 22:26 | 28 |
| 6 | Urawa Reds | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 25:22 | 25 |
| 7 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 18 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 28:31 | 20 |
| 8 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 22:24 | 20 |
| 9 | Mito | 18 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 23:39 | 18 |
| 10 | Chiba | 18 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 18:34 | 12 |
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 29:25 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 30:21 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 33:31 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 31:23 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 31:25 | 28 |
| 6 | Okayama | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 26:29 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 23:25 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 22:28 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 21:29 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 21:31 | 21 |
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
