Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
This match ends 5-0, with Chiba advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
12%
15%
73%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Otsuka
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
73%
/ High Confidence
- Otsuka haven't matched Chiba's recent run of results.
- Otsuka are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Chiba have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Chiba, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Chiba Clean Sheet 16%
Otsuka Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chiba | Otsuka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 13 |
| Wins | 9 | 8 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 21 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.39 | 3.23 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.71 | 1.62 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Dec 14, 2003 Emperors Cup
Chiba vs Otsuka
5:0
Dec 9, 2001 Emperors Cup
Chiba vs Otsuka
5:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chiba 10 / 100
Otsuka 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chiba Otsuka
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Otsuka Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.
Chiba scored in 65% of their last 31 games.
Defensive concern: Otsuka conceded in 62% of 13 recent games.
Difficult form: Otsuka registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Chiba VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Chiba
(Home) 15 Aug
Chiba
0 : 4 Machida Zelvia
08 Aug
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3 : 0 Chiba
01 Aug
Chiba
0 : 1 Kashiwa Reysol
06 Jun
Chiba
1 : 2 Avispa Fukuoka
30 May
Avispa Fukuoka
2 : 2 Chiba
Page 1 of 7
15 Aug
Chiba
0 : 4 Machida Zelvia
01 Aug
Chiba
0 : 1 Kashiwa Reysol
06 Jun
Chiba
1 : 2 Avispa Fukuoka
17 May
Chiba
0 : 2 Kashima Antlers
10 May
Chiba
0 : 2 Machida Zelvia
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Otsuka
(Away) 26 Sept
Tokai
3 : 2 Otsuka
14 Dec
Chiba
5 : 0 Otsuka
07 Dec
Otsuka
6 : 0 TDK SC
30 Nov
Iwami
0 : 5 Otsuka
15 Dec
Nagoya Grampus
2 : 0 Otsuka
Page 1 of 3
26 Sept
Tokai
3 : 2 Otsuka
14 Dec
Chiba
5 : 0 Otsuka
30 Nov
Iwami
0 : 5 Otsuka
15 Dec
Nagoya Grampus
2 : 0 Otsuka
01 Dec
YSCC Yokohama
1 : 7 Otsuka
Page 1 of 2
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Cerezo Osaka -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kariyushi 1
Sagan Tosu 0
Dohto Uni. 2
Hokuriku 3
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 8
Jinsei Gakuen 0
Yasu 2
Shizuoka Sangyo 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gamba Osaka -
FC Tokyo -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tsukuba Univ. 5
Matsushita 0
Nirasaki 0
Honda FC 5
Montedio Yamagata 4
Gifu 3
Tsuruoka Higashi H.S. 1
Ritsumeikan Ritsumeikan University 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vissel Kobe -
Yokohama F. Marinos -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hannan 2
Kihoku 0
Thespakusatsu Gunma 0
Municipal Funabashi High School 1
Kyoto -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kanazawa 4
Renofa Yamaguchi 1
Kwansei 0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1
Kashiwa Reysol -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tochigi SC 5
Yamada 2
Chukyo 0
Omiya Ardija 5
Avispa Fukuoka 7
Tokai 0
Kibi 0
Maruyasu Industries SC 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kashima Antlers -
Shimizu S-Pulse -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gainare Tottori 1
Nippon Bunri Univ. 0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima (Am) 0
Mito 1
Urawa Reds -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ehime 4
Japan Soccer 1
Tenri 1
Shonan Bellmare 6
Kawasaki Frontale 2
Juntendo University 0
Tokushima 0
Kunimi 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Oita Trinita -
Otsuka 5
Iwami 0
Kumamoto 1
TDK SC 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chiba -
Verdy -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Andrew's Univ. 6
Miyazaki Sangyo 1
Fukui 0
Kofu 3
Yokohama FC 8
Northern Peaks Koriyama 1
Sony Sendai 1
Fukuoka Univ. 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nagoya Grampus -
Albirex Niigata 5
Kagoshima 0
Morioka Zebra 1
Kochi 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vegalta Sendai -
Sagawa 4
KyushuInax 0
Komazawa 0
Honda Lock 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Iwata -
1/32-finals
Cerezo Osaka -
TBD -
Kariyushi 1
Hokuriku 2
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 3
Shizuoka Sangyo 2
TBD -
Gamba Osaka -
FC Tokyo -
TBD -
Tsukuba Univ. 1
Honda FC 2
Montedio Yamagata 6
Ritsumeikan Ritsumeikan University 1
TBD -
Vissel Kobe -
Yokohama F. Marinos -
TBD -
Hannan 0
Municipal Funabashi High School 1
Kyoto -
TBD -
Kanazawa 0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3
Kashiwa Reysol -
TBD -
Tochigi SC 0
Omiya Ardija 4
Avispa Fukuoka 3
Maruyasu Industries SC 0
TBD -
Kashima Antlers -
Shimizu S-Pulse -
TBD -
Gainare Tottori 1
Mito 4
Urawa Reds -
TBD -
Ehime 1
Shonan Bellmare 2
Kawasaki Frontale 7
Kunimi 1
TBD -
Oita Trinita -
Otsuka 6
TDK SC 0
TBD -
Chiba -
Verdy -
TBD -
St. Andrew's Univ. 1
Kofu 2
Yokohama FC 5
Fukuoka Univ. 0
TBD -
Nagoya Grampus -
Albirex Niigata 2
Kochi 0
TBD -
Vegalta Sendai -
Sagawa 2
Honda Lock 1
TBD -
Iwata -
1/16-finals
Cerezo Osaka 4
Hokuriku 1
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1
Gamba Osaka 3
FC Tokyo 3
Honda FC 2
Montedio Yamagata 0
Vissel Kobe 3
Yokohama F. Marinos 3
Municipal Funabashi High School 2
Kyoto 0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2
Kashiwa Reysol 1
Omiya Ardija 0
Avispa Fukuoka 2
Kashima Antlers 3
Shimizu S-Pulse 2
Mito 0
Urawa Reds 1
Shonan Bellmare 2
Kawasaki Frontale 3
Oita Trinita 0
Otsuka 0
Chiba 5
Verdy 2
Kofu 1
Yokohama FC 0
Nagoya Grampus 1
Albirex Niigata 2
Vegalta Sendai 1
Sagawa 0
Iwata 2
1/8-finals
Cerezo Osaka 3
Gamba Osaka 2
FC Tokyo 2
Vissel Kobe 3
Yokohama F. Marinos 2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1
Kashiwa Reysol 2
Kashima Antlers 3
Shimizu S-Pulse 2
Shonan Bellmare 1
Kawasaki Frontale 0
Chiba 5
Verdy 1
Nagoya Grampus 0
Albirex Niigata 0
Iwata 4
Quarter-finals
Cerezo Osaka 3
Vissel Kobe 2
Yokohama F. Marinos 1
Kashima Antlers 4
Shimizu S-Pulse 1
Chiba 0
Verdy 0
Iwata 3
Semi-finals
Cerezo Osaka 2
Kashima Antlers 1
Shimizu S-Pulse 2
Iwata 4
Final
Cerezo Osaka 0
Iwata 1
