Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
This match ends 5-0, with Chiba advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Otsuka
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Otsuka's 3.23 goals per match outpaces what Chiba have produced (1.35).
- Model gives Otsuka a 51% chance of winning this.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor Chiba, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Chiba Clean Sheet 16%
Otsuka Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chiba | Otsuka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 13 |
| Wins | 8 | 8 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 21 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.35 | 3.23 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.81 | 1.62 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.10 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Dec 14, 2003 Emperors Cup
Chiba vs Otsuka
5:0
Dec 9, 2001 Emperors Cup
Chiba vs Otsuka
5:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chiba 15 / 100
Otsuka 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chiba Otsuka
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Otsuka Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 5.00 goals.
Chiba's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Defensive concern: Otsuka conceded in 62% of 13 recent games.
Otsuka lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Chiba VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Chiba
(Home) 07 Oct
Okayama
1 : 0 Chiba
29 Sept
Iwata
4 : 2 Chiba
19 Sept
Shimizu S-Pulse
2 : 1 Chiba
13 Sept
Verdy
1 : 1 Chiba
09 Sept
Kamatamare Sanuki
0 : 2 Chiba
Page 1 of 7
06 Sept
Chiba
2 : 0 Gamba Osaka
02 Sept
Chiba
1 : 2 Okayama
26 Aug
Chiba
2 : 1 Azul Claro Numazu
15 Aug
Chiba
0 : 4 Machida Zelvia
01 Aug
Chiba
0 : 1 Kashiwa Reysol
Page 1 of 3
Otsuka
(Away) 26 Sept
Tokai
3 : 2 Otsuka
14 Dec
Chiba
5 : 0 Otsuka
07 Dec
Otsuka
6 : 0 TDK SC
30 Nov
Iwami
0 : 5 Otsuka
15 Dec
Nagoya Grampus
2 : 0 Otsuka
Page 1 of 3
26 Sept
Tokai
3 : 2 Otsuka
14 Dec
Chiba
5 : 0 Otsuka
30 Nov
Iwami
0 : 5 Otsuka
15 Dec
Nagoya Grampus
2 : 0 Otsuka
01 Dec
YSCC Yokohama
1 : 7 Otsuka
Page 1 of 2
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Shimizu S-Pulse -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kainan -
TBD -
Kochi 0
Honda FC 1
Vegalta Sendai 4
Primeiro 0
Morioka Zebra 0
Kyoken Kyoto 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sanfrecce Hiroshima -
Albirex Niigata 3
Mindhouse 1
Fukui 1
Tochigi SC 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Avispa Fukuoka -
Mito 7
Gifu Kogyo 1
Akita Shogyo 2
Denso 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gamba Osaka -
Verdy -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Shin-nittetsu Oita 3
Nagasaki University 1
Omiya Ardija 0
Tokai 2
Komazawa 3
Ohara 1
Sunlife 0
Kunimi 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Iwata -
Yokohama FC 14
Saitama 0
Yamagata 1
Kumamoto 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Tokyo -
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hosei 1
Honda Lock 0
Kwansei 0
Kawasaki Frontale 5
Urawa Reds -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hokuriku 2
Douto 1
Osaka Taiiku 0
Kofu 4
Montedio Yamagata 3
Kagoshima 2
Fukuyama City 2
Ehime 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vissel Kobe -
Kyoto 4
Nirasaki 0
Aster Aomori 1
Thespakusatsu Gunma 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Yokohama F. Marinos -
Otsuka 8
Renofa Yamaguchi 0
Hannan 1
Ryutsu Keizai University 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chiba -
Kashima Antlers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Shonan Bellmare 7
Muchz 0
Sony Sendai 0
Nara Sangyo 1
Kashiwa Reysol -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jatco 4
Iwami 0
Fukuoka Univ. 1
Sagan Tosu 2
Sagawa Kyubin SC 4
Juntendo University 3
Kibi 0
Saga Nanyo 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nagoya Grampus -
Oita Trinita 2
Kariyushi 1
Apple Sports 0
Gainare Tottori 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cerezo Osaka -
1/32-finals
Shimizu S-Pulse -
TBD -
Kainan 0
Honda FC 6
Vegalta Sendai 4
Kyoken Kyoto 1
TBD -
Sanfrecce Hiroshima -
Albirex Niigata 2
Tochigi SC 1
TBD -
Avispa Fukuoka -
Mito 1
Denso 0
TBD -
Gamba Osaka -
Verdy -
TBD -
Shin-nittetsu Oita 3
Tokai 4
Komazawa 4
Kunimi 1
TBD -
Iwata -
Yokohama FC 5
Kumamoto 0
TBD -
FC Tokyo -
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo -
TBD -
Hosei 0
Kawasaki Frontale 1
Urawa Reds -
TBD -
Hokuriku 0
Kofu 1
Montedio Yamagata 1
Ehime 0
TBD -
Vissel Kobe -
Kyoto 3
Thespakusatsu Gunma 0
TBD -
Yokohama F. Marinos -
Otsuka 3
Ryutsu Keizai University 2
TBD -
Chiba -
Kashima Antlers -
TBD -
Shonan Bellmare 0
Nara Sangyo 1
Kashiwa Reysol -
TBD -
Jatco 0
Sagan Tosu 1
Sagawa Kyubin SC 10
Saga Nanyo 0
TBD -
Nagoya Grampus -
Oita Trinita 2
Gainare Tottori 1
TBD -
Cerezo Osaka -
1/16-finals
Shimizu S-Pulse 2
Honda FC 1
Vegalta Sendai 0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1
Albirex Niigata 3
Avispa Fukuoka 2
Mito 0
Gamba Osaka 5
Verdy 2
Tokai 0
Komazawa 2
Iwata 3
Yokohama FC 1
FC Tokyo 0
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 2
Kawasaki Frontale 3
Urawa Reds 2
Kofu 0
Montedio Yamagata 0
Vissel Kobe 1
Kyoto 1
Yokohama F. Marinos 0
Otsuka 0
Chiba 5
Kashima Antlers 6
Nara Sangyo 0
Kashiwa Reysol 1
Sagan Tosu 2
Sagawa Kyubin SC 4
Nagoya Grampus 0
Oita Trinita 2
Cerezo Osaka 3
1/8-finals
Shimizu S-Pulse 4
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0
Albirex Niigata 0
Gamba Osaka 1
Verdy 3
Iwata 1
Yokohama FC 1
Kawasaki Frontale 3
Urawa Reds 4
Vissel Kobe 1
Kyoto 0
Chiba 4
Kashima Antlers 6
Sagan Tosu 0
Sagawa Kyubin SC 0
Cerezo Osaka 2
Quarter-finals
Shimizu S-Pulse 2
Gamba Osaka 0
Verdy 0
Kawasaki Frontale 3
Urawa Reds 2
Chiba 1
Kashima Antlers 2
Cerezo Osaka 4
Semi-finals
Shimizu S-Pulse 2
Kawasaki Frontale 1
Urawa Reds 0
Cerezo Osaka 1
Final
Shimizu S-Pulse 3
Cerezo Osaka 2
