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Atlanta United 2

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Chicago Fire II play Atlanta United 2 in the MLS Next Pro. It looks like a close match. Recently, Chicago Fire II averaged 2.07 goals scored and 2 conceded. Atlanta United 2 averaged 1.93 goals scored and 1.66 conceded. In past meetings, Chicago Fire II won 2, Atlanta United 2 won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 6, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.19 for Chicago Fire II and 2.19 for Atlanta United 2. This points to a Chicago Fire II double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%

Chicago Fire II

15%

Draws

40%

Atlanta United 2

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chicago Fire II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Chicago Fire II picked up more points recently compared to Atlanta United 2.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.19 vs 2.19 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 76%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 86%

Over 2.5 Goals 76%

Over 3.5 Goals 46%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62%

Chicago Fire II Clean Sheet 10%

Atlanta United 2 Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 77%

Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Chicago Fire II	Atlanta United 2
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	15	14
Draws	1	0
Losses	13	15
Goals Scored	2.07	1.93
Goals Conceded	2	1.66
Expected Goals (xG)	2.00	2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 MLS Next Pro

Atlanta United 2 vs Chicago Fire II

Possession: 53% - 49% Cards: 3 - 3

3:0

Apr 18, 2026 MLS Next Pro

Chicago Fire II vs Atlanta United 2

Possession: 45% - 55% Cards: 0 - 0

0:3

Sep 28, 2025 MLS Next Pro

Chicago Fire II vs Atlanta United 2

Possession: 58% - 44% Cards: 4 - 2

2:5

Apr 28, 2024 MLS Next Pro

Chicago Fire II vs Atlanta United 2

Possession: 60% - 50% Cards: 3 - 2

2:0

Aug 3, 2023 MLS Next Pro

Chicago Fire II vs Atlanta United 2

Possession: 43% - 53% Cards: 3 - 1

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chicago Fire II Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54

Avg xA / game 1

Atlanta United 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kovac A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Dunbar C.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.39

Avg xA / game 1.46

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chicago Fire II 43 / 100

Atlanta United 2 38 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Chicago Fire II Atlanta United 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Chicago Fire II or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +21.5%

2.70

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8.7%

1.43

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Chicago Fire II attacking → ← attacking Atlanta United 2

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chicago Fire II scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Atlanta United 2 let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Chicago Fire II went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Atlanta United 2 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

46 Points in last 5 42

2.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.63

1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.38

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Columbus Crew 2	17	12	5	31:27	34
2	New York Red Bulls II	17	10	7	39:24	32
3	New England Revolution II	16	11	5	21:18	31
4	New York City II	15	8	7	24:23	25
5	Philadelphia Union II	17	8	9	21:21	24
6	CT United FC	16	8	8	28:29	22
7	Toronto FC II	17	7	10	25:32	22
8	FC Cincinnati 2	16	5	11	15:29	14

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Crown Legacy	16	12	4	41:22	34
2	Chattanooga	17	11	6	33:28	31
3	Orlando City B	17	10	7	37:31	30
4	Atlanta United 2	16	8	8	34:25	27
5	Chicago Fire II	16	8	8	24:24	24
6	Huntsville City	16	7	9	29:35	21
7	Carolina Core	18	5	13	21:31	17
8	Inter Miami II	15	1	14	13:37	5

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Portland Timbers 2	17	10	7	23:22	32
2	Ventura County	18	10	8	32:27	29
3	San Jose Earthquakes II	15	9	6	37:18	28
4	Los Angeles FC 2	16	9	7	28:28	28
5	Real Monarchs	17	9	8	27:30	23
6	Tacoma Defiance	17	7	10	18:24	21
7	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	18	6	12	24:38	17

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Austin FC II	16	13	3	34:13	40
2	Houston Dynamo 2	15	12	3	35:13	34
3	St. Louis City 2	17	10	7	28:28	29
4	Minnesota United 2	18	9	9	25:29	26
5	North Texas	15	7	8	26:20	22
6	Sporting Kansas City II	18	4	14	23:50	13
7	Colorado Rapids 2	17	2	15	15:35	9

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Columbus Crew 2	17	12	5	31:27	34
2	Crown Legacy	16	12	4	41:22	34
3	New York Red Bulls II	17	10	7	39:24	32
4	Chattanooga	17	11	6	33:28	31
5	New England Revolution II	16	11	5	21:18	31
6	Orlando City B	17	10	7	37:31	30
7	Atlanta United 2	16	8	8	34:25	27
8	New York City II	15	8	7	24:23	25
9	Philadelphia Union II	17	8	9	21:21	24
10	Chicago Fire II	16	8	8	24:24	24
11	CT United FC	16	8	8	28:29	22
12	Toronto FC II	17	7	10	25:32	22
13	Huntsville City	16	7	9	29:35	21
14	Carolina Core	18	5	13	21:31	17
15	FC Cincinnati 2	16	5	11	15:29	14
16	Inter Miami II	15	1	14	13:37	5

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Austin FC II	16	13	3	34:13	40
2	Houston Dynamo 2	15	12	3	35:13	34
3	Portland Timbers 2	17	10	7	23:22	32
4	Ventura County	18	10	8	32:27	29
5	St. Louis City 2	17	10	7	28:28	29
6	San Jose Earthquakes II	15	9	6	37:18	28
7	Los Angeles FC 2	16	9	7	28:28	28
8	Minnesota United 2	18	9	9	25:29	26
9	Real Monarchs	17	9	8	27:30	23
10	North Texas	15	7	8	26:20	22
11	Tacoma Defiance	17	7	10	18:24	21
12	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	18	6	12	24:38	17
13	Sporting Kansas City II	18	4	14	23:50	13
14	Colorado Rapids 2	17	2	15	15:35	9