Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chicago Fire II vs Atlanta United 2

USA USA

MLS Next Pro 2025 SeatGeek Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Weah P.
(Penalty)
19'
Weah P.
26'
Poreba D.

AI Match Summary

Atlanta United 2 in this MLS Next Pro 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atlanta United 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Chicago Fire II
28%
Draws
22%
Atlanta United 2
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Chicago Fire II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Atlanta United 2 average 2.5 goals a game right now, well clear of Chicago Fire II's 2.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Chicago Fire II taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Chicago Fire II Clean Sheet 10%
Atlanta United 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chicago Fire II Atlanta United 2
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 15
Draws 1 0
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 2 2.5
Goals Conceded 1.75 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Atlanta United 2 vs Chicago Fire II
3:0
Apr 18, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Chicago Fire II vs Atlanta United 2
0:3
Sep 28, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Chicago Fire II vs Atlanta United 2
2:5
Apr 28, 2024 MLS Next Pro
Chicago Fire II vs Atlanta United 2
2:0
Aug 3, 2023 MLS Next Pro
Chicago Fire II vs Atlanta United 2
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chicago Fire II Compare

Top Goalscorer Turdean R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Atlanta United 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Wesseh G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Weah P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chicago Fire II 47 / 100
Atlanta United 2 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chicago Fire II Atlanta United 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chicago Fire II's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Atlanta United 2 let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: Chicago Fire II remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Chicago Fire II VS Atlanta United 2
2 Goals Scored 2.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1New York Red Bulls II28190968:5658
2Philadelphia Union II28200864:3458
3New England Revolution II28190954:3754
4Chicago Fire II281701169:5848
5FC Cincinnati 2281601240:4141
6Toronto FC II281201634:4238
7New York City II281101753:6135
8Columbus Crew 228602240:6422
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Chattanooga281801042:3653
2Huntsville City281801056:3252
3Carolina Core281301542:4439
4Atlanta United 2281101744:4338
5Orlando City B281301538:5537
6Crown Legacy281001845:5432
7Inter Miami II28702140:7225
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1San Jose Earthquakes II281801059:3652
2Real Monarchs281701155:4251
3Vancouver Whitecaps 2281501361:5442
4Ventura County281301548:5141
5Portland Timbers 2281201647:5438
6Tacoma Defiance281201662:6736
7Los Angeles FC 2281101747:6133
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1St. Louis City 228220660:3762
2Colorado Rapids 2281601255:4051
3Minnesota United 2281401445:4244
4North Texas281501346:5643
5Austin FC II281301535:3641
6Houston Dynamo 2281301540:4737
7Sporting Kansas City II28502330:6717
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1New York Red Bulls II28190968:5658
2Philadelphia Union II28200864:3458
3New England Revolution II28190954:3754
4Chattanooga281801042:3653
5Huntsville City281801056:3252
6Chicago Fire II281701169:5848
7FC Cincinnati 2281601240:4141
8Carolina Core281301542:4439
9Toronto FC II281201634:4238
10Atlanta United 2281101744:4338
11Orlando City B281301538:5537
12New York City II281101753:6135
13Crown Legacy281001845:5432
14Inter Miami II28702140:7225
15Columbus Crew 228602240:6422
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1St. Louis City 228220660:3762
2San Jose Earthquakes II281801059:3652
3Colorado Rapids 2281601255:4051
4Real Monarchs281701155:4251
5Minnesota United 2281401445:4244
6North Texas281501346:5643
7Vancouver Whitecaps 2281501361:5442
8Ventura County281301548:5141
9Austin FC II281301535:3641
10Portland Timbers 2281201647:5438
11Houston Dynamo 2281301540:4737
12Tacoma Defiance281201662:6736
13Los Angeles FC 2281101747:6133
14Sporting Kansas City II28502330:6717