Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chicago Fire II vs Philadelphia Union II

USA USA

MLS Next Pro SeatGeek Stadium, Bridgeview, IL
Chicago Fire II Logo

Chicago Fire II

1 - 2
FT
Philadelphia Union II Logo

Philadelphia Union II

Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Villanueva D.
Assist: Glyut V.
61'
Sub
Boltz D. In: Diawara T.
Out: Boltz D.
66' Event
LeBlanc K.
Assist: De Paula M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Philadelphia Union II in this MLS Next Pro matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Philadelphia Union II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Chicago Fire II
15%
Draws
64%
Philadelphia Union II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Philadelphia Union II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Chicago Fire II average 1.91 goals a game right now, well clear of Philadelphia Union II's 1.35.
  • Philadelphia Union II are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Chicago Fire II Clean Sheet 10%
Philadelphia Union II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chicago Fire II Philadelphia Union II
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 15 15
Draws 1 1
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 1.91 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.84 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Chicago Fire II vs Philadelphia Union II
1:2
Sep 21, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Philadelphia Union II vs Chicago Fire II
5:2
Aug 16, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Chicago Fire II vs Philadelphia Union II
2:0
Oct 6, 2024 MLS Next Pro
Chicago Fire II vs Philadelphia Union II
2:1
Aug 10, 2024 MLS Next Pro
Philadelphia Union II vs Chicago Fire II
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chicago Fire II Compare

Top Goalscorer Villanueva D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Philadelphia Union II Compare

Top Goalscorer LeBlanc K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Reed T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chicago Fire II 10 / 100
Philadelphia Union II 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chicago Fire II Philadelphia Union II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Philadelphia Union II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chicago Fire II scored in 81% of their last 32 games.

Defensive concern: Philadelphia Union II conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Chicago Fire II stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chicago Fire II VS Philadelphia Union II
2.75 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Chicago Fire II

(Home)
20 Sept
Chicago Fire II
0 : 1
Chattanooga
13 Sept
Chicago Fire II
1 : 2
Philadelphia Union II
04 Sept
Crown Legacy
4 : 0
Chicago Fire II
30 Aug
Columbus Crew 2
4 : 0
Chicago Fire II
23 Aug
Chicago Fire II
3 : 1
Inter Miami II
Page 1 of 7

Philadelphia Union II

(Away)
20 Sept
Philadelphia Union II
1 : 2
New York City II
13 Sept
Chicago Fire II
1 : 2
Philadelphia Union II
04 Sept
Philadelphia Union II
1 : 0
Columbus Crew 2
30 Aug
FC Cincinnati 2
2 : 3
Philadelphia Union II
23 Aug
Philadelphia Union II
2 : 4
CT United FC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
2 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
3 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
4 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
5 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
6 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
7 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
8 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
5 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
6 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
7 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
8 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
2 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
3 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
4 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
5 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
6 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
7 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
3 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
4 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
5 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
6 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
7 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
5 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
6 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
7 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
8 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
9 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
10 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
11 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
12 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
13 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
14 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
15 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
16 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
3 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
4 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
5 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
6 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
7 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
8 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
9 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
10 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
11 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
12 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
13 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
14 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)