Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chicago Fire vs CF Montreal

USA USA

MLS Soldier Field
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Bamba J.
30'
Vera B.
44'
Zinckernagel P.

AI Match Summary

Chicago Fire in this MLS matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chicago Fire.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Chicago Fire
28%
Draws
22%
CF Montreal
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Chicago Fire

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Chicago Fire have won more games recently than CF Montreal.
  • Win probability leans Chicago Fire's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Chicago Fire Clean Sheet 10%
CF Montreal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chicago Fire CF Montreal
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 14 11
Draws 6 5
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 2.38 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 MLS
CF Montreal vs Chicago Fire
0:2
Feb 28, 2026 MLS
Chicago Fire vs CF Montreal
3:0
Jul 19, 2025 MLS
CF Montreal vs Chicago Fire
0:2
Mar 30, 2025 MLS
Chicago Fire vs CF Montreal
1:1
Sep 21, 2024 MLS
CF Montreal vs Chicago Fire
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chicago Fire Compare

Top Goalscorer Bamba J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lod R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

CF Montreal Compare

Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chicago Fire 47 / 100
CF Montreal 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chicago Fire CF Montreal

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chicago Fire's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

CF Montreal let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Chicago Fire has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chicago Fire VS CF Montreal
2.38 Goals Scored 2.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps14102234:1232
2San Jose Earthquakes15102334:1532
3Real Salt Lake1482426:1926
4FC Dallas1574430:2225
5Los Angeles FC1573524:1724
6Seattle Sounders1373317:1124
7Houston Dynamo1471619:2322
8Minnesota United1564518:2222
9Los Angeles Galaxy1555522:2220
10San Diego FC1545630:2717
11Colorado Rapids1551925:2416
12St. Louis City1444616:2016
13Portland Timbers1442822:2814
14Austin FC1535719:3114
15Sporting Kansas City1432914:3611
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nashville SC14103131:1133
2Inter Miami1594239:2831
3Chicago Fire1482427:1626
4New England Revolution1481522:1825
5New York Red Bulls1564525:3222
6Charlotte FC1563624:2321
7FC Cincinnati1555536:3720
8New York City1554625:2119
9DC United1546521:2518
10Columbus Crew1544721:2316
11CF Montreal1442822:3114
12Orlando City1542923:4414
13Toronto FC1435622:2914
14Atlanta United1432914:2311
15Philadelphia Union15141018:307