Sport Picks
Chicago Fire vs Portland Timbers
USA
MLS Soldier Field, Chicago, IL 
Match Events
9'
9'
Lod R.
Assist: Gutman A.
14'
14'
D'Avilla D.
Assist: Haile-Selassie M.
51'
51'
Bye B.
AI Match Summary
Chicago Fire in this MLS matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chicago Fire.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chicago Fire
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Chicago Fire have won more games recently than Portland Timbers.
- Chicago Fire are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.8%
Chicago Fire Clean Sheet 10%
Portland Timbers Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chicago Fire | Portland Timbers |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 10 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 8 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.86 | 1.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.46 | 1.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 16, 2026 MLS
Chicago Fire vs Portland Timbers
2:1
Feb 14, 2026 Club Friendly
Chicago Fire vs Portland Timbers
3:4
Feb 8, 2025 Club Friendly
Portland Timbers vs Chicago Fire
0:0
Feb 17, 2024 Club Friendly
Portland Timbers vs Chicago Fire
1:2
Jun 22, 2023 MLS
Portland Timbers vs Chicago Fire
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chicago Fire Compare
Top Goalscorer Lod R.
1 Goals Assists Leader D'Avilla D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Portland Timbers Compare
Top Goalscorer Surman F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chicago Fire 40 / 100
Portland Timbers 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chicago Fire Portland Timbers
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chicago Fire's goal record stands at 96% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Portland Timbers has conceded goals in 97% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Chicago Fire has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Chicago Fire VS Portland Timbers
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Chicago Fire
(Home) 26 Sept
Charlotte FC
0 : 1 Chicago Fire
20 Sept
Nashville SC
3 : 0 Chicago Fire
13 Sept
Chicago Fire
1 : 2 New England Revolution
10 Sept
Chicago Fire
1 : 1 Inter Miami
05 Sept
Toronto FC
4 : 4 Chicago Fire
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13 Sept
Chicago Fire
1 : 2 New England Revolution
10 Sept
Chicago Fire
1 : 1 Inter Miami
16 Aug
Chicago Fire
2 : 1 Portland Timbers
10 Aug
Chicago Fire
3 : 1 Santos Laguna
07 Aug
Chicago Fire
2 : 0 Necaxa
Page 1 of 3
Portland Timbers
(Away) 27 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes
3 : 1 Portland Timbers
20 Sept
Portland Timbers
0 : 1 Atlanta United
13 Sept
FC Dallas
2 : 1 Portland Timbers
10 Sept
Portland Timbers
2 : 2 St. Louis City
06 Sept
Portland Timbers
5 : 4 Minnesota United
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes
3 : 1 Portland Timbers
13 Sept
FC Dallas
2 : 1 Portland Timbers
23 Aug
Los Angeles FC
1 : 1 Portland Timbers
16 Aug
Chicago Fire
2 : 1 Portland Timbers
10 Aug
Club America
3 : 1 Portland Timbers
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 59:26 | 50 |
| 2 | St. Louis City | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 48:36 | 47 |
| 3 | FC Dallas | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 50:42 | 47 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 49:39 | 45 |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 34:32 | 44 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 43:30 | 41 |
| 7 | Seattle Sounders | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 35:35 | 38 |
| 8 | Colorado Rapids | 27 | 11 | 3 | 13 | 38:38 | 36 |
| 9 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 37:44 | 36 |
| 10 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 48:51 | 32 |
| 11 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 40:44 | 32 |
| 12 | San Diego FC | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 47:47 | 32 |
| 13 | Austin FC | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 35:47 | 31 |
| 14 | Minnesota United | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 40:49 | 29 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 32:65 | 21 |
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 55:21 | 60 |
| 2 | New England Revolution | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 45:36 | 46 |
| 3 | Inter Miami | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 64:50 | 46 |
| 4 | Charlotte FC | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 47:38 | 43 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 46:38 | 42 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 54:44 | 39 |
| 7 | Orlando City | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 48:64 | 34 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 34:51 | 33 |
| 9 | New York City | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 41:36 | 33 |
| 10 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 55:64 | 33 |
| 11 | DC United | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 34:42 | 30 |
| 12 | Columbus Crew | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 39:43 | 29 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 39:51 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 32:45 | 27 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 34:54 | 24 |
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
