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Chicago Fire vs Vancouver Whitecaps

USA USA

MLS Soldier Field
Fri, Jul 17, 2026
VS
12:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chicago Fire host Vancouver Whitecaps in the MLS. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Chicago Fire at 2.25 goals for, 1.63 against; Vancouver Whitecaps at 2.38 for, 1.13 against. Past meetings favor Chicago Fire slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 23, 2025, ending 1:3. xG projections (1.69 - 2.00) back Vancouver Whitecaps to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Chicago Fire
44%
Draws
20%
Vancouver Whitecaps
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vancouver Whitecaps come out ahead of Chicago Fire on wins alone.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Chicago Fire Clean Sheet 10%
Vancouver Whitecaps Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chicago Fire Vancouver Whitecaps
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 15 18
Draws 6 5
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 2.25 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2025 MLS
Vancouver Whitecaps vs Chicago Fire
1:3
Aug 31, 2023 MLS
Chicago Fire vs Vancouver Whitecaps
0:1
Jul 24, 2022 MLS
Vancouver Whitecaps vs Chicago Fire
1:3
Apr 10, 2021 Club Friendly
Vancouver Whitecaps vs Chicago Fire
3:2
Aug 30, 2020 MLS
Vancouver Whitecaps vs Chicago Fire
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chicago Fire 34 / 100
Vancouver Whitecaps 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chicago Fire Vancouver Whitecaps

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Chicago Fire scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Vancouver Whitecaps conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Chicago Fire stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chicago Fire VS Vancouver Whitecaps
2.25 Goals Scored 2.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps14102234:1232
2San Jose Earthquakes15102334:1532
3Real Salt Lake1482426:1926
4FC Dallas1574430:2225
5Los Angeles FC1573524:1724
6Seattle Sounders1373317:1124
7Houston Dynamo1471619:2322
8Minnesota United1564518:2222
9Los Angeles Galaxy1555522:2220
10San Diego FC1545630:2717
11Colorado Rapids1551925:2416
12St. Louis City1444616:2016
13Portland Timbers1442822:2814
14Austin FC1535719:3114
15Sporting Kansas City1432914:3611
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nashville SC14103131:1133
2Inter Miami1594239:2831
3Chicago Fire1482427:1626
4New England Revolution1481522:1825
5New York Red Bulls1564525:3222
6Charlotte FC1563624:2321
7FC Cincinnati1555536:3720
8New York City1554625:2119
9DC United1546521:2518
10Columbus Crew1544721:2316
11CF Montreal1442822:3114
12Orlando City1542923:4414
13Toronto FC1435622:2914
14Atlanta United1432914:2311
15Philadelphia Union15141018:307