Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chicago House vs Minnesota United 2

USA USA

US Open Cup 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Adebayo-Smith J.
Assist: Romanshyn K.
55' Event
Adebayo-Smith J.
Assist: Mesanvi L.
90' Event
Adebayo-Smith J.
Assist: Mawing D.

AI Match Summary

Minnesota United 2 in this US Open Cup 2024 tie, finishing 0-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Chicago House
15%
Draws
61%
Minnesota United 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Minnesota United 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Minnesota United 2 lately — more wins on the board than Chicago House.
  • Win probability leans Minnesota United 2's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Minnesota United 2 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Minnesota United 2, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Chicago House Clean Sheet 17%
Minnesota United 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chicago House Minnesota United 2
Matches Played 22 32
Wins 9 17
Draws 2 0
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2024 US Open Cup
Chicago House vs Minnesota United 2
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chicago House Compare

Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Minnesota United 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Adebayo-Smith J.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chicago House 10 / 100
Minnesota United 2 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chicago House Minnesota United 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Minnesota United 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chicago House scored in 64% of their last 22 games.

Minnesota United 2 has conceded goals in 72% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Chicago House remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Minnesota United 2
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Chicago House

(Home)
21 Mar
Chicago House
0 : 3
Minnesota United 2
27 Apr
Chicago Fire
3 : 0
Chicago House
11 Apr
Forward Madison
2 : 3
Chicago House
23 Mar
Chicago House
1 : 0
Bavarian United SC
21 Nov
Chicago House
1 : 3
California United
Page 1 of 5

Minnesota United 2

(Away)
20 Sept
Minnesota United 2
3 : 2
Los Angeles FC 2
17 Sept
Real Monarchs
0 : 1
Minnesota United 2
13 Sept
Minnesota United 2
5 : 1
Vancouver Whitecaps 2
06 Sept
Minnesota United 2
2 : 0
Colorado Rapids 2
30 Aug
Houston Dynamo 2
0 : 2
Minnesota United 2
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Western Pioneers 0
Union Omaha 4
Capo 2
Menace 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
El Paso Locomotive -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sporting Kansas City -
Pittsburgh Riverhounds -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Tulsa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Colorado Rapids 2 3
Azteca 0
Tulsa Athletic 1
Northern Colorado 4
Tampa Bay -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Birmingham Legion -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Apotheos 1
Georgia Lions 0
Chattanooga Red Wolves 4
Brockton United 2
FC Dallas -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Memphis 901 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chattanooga 0
Miami United 1
Frenzi 2
Club de Lyon 3
Charleston -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Miami FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
South Georgia Tormenta 1
America CFL Spurs 0
Brave SC 0
Savannah Clovers 2
Atlanta United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vereinigung Erzgebirge 0
Charlotte Independence 2
Crown Legacy 0
South Carolina United Heat 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chicago Fire II 6
Chicago City 0
Forward Madison 2
Duluth FC 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Indy Eleven -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
San Antonio FC -
Houston Dynamo -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Detroit City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chicago House 0
Minnesota United 2 3
Steel City 0
Michigan Stars 1
Sacramento Republic -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Monterey Bay -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ventura County 2
Irvine Zeta 2 1
Irvine Zeta 1
MesoAmerica 0
San Jose Earthquakes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Oakland Roots -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Portland Timbers 2 1
El Farolito 2
Folsom 1
Central Valley Fuego 2
Seattle Sounders -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Louisville City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Asheville City 0
One Knoxville 2
South Carolina United Bantams 0
Greenville Triumph 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vermont Green 4
Lexington 3
Carolina Core 3
Northern Virginia 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Phoenix Rising -
Las Vegas Lights -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballard 0
Spokane Velocity 1
LA Force 2
Redlands United FC 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Los Angeles FC -
Orange County SC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Richmond Kickers 1
Christos 0
West Chester United 0
Maryland Bobcats 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Loudoun United -
Hartford Athletic -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Motown 0
New York City II 3
New York Red Bulls II 5
Hudson Valley 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Colorado Springs -
New Mexico -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lubbock Matadors 2
Arizona Monsoon 1
Austin FC II 2
Foro 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Real Salt Lake -
1/64-finals
Union Omaha 3
Menace 1
TBD -
El Paso Locomotive -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sporting Kansas City -
Pittsburgh Riverhounds -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Tulsa -
TBD -
Colorado Rapids 2 2
Northern Colorado 3
Tampa Bay -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Birmingham Legion -
TBD -
Apotheos 0
Chattanooga Red Wolves 1
FC Dallas -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Memphis 901 -
TBD -
Miami United 2
Club de Lyon 0
Charleston -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Miami FC -
TBD -
South Georgia Tormenta 4
Savannah Clovers 0
Atlanta United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Charlotte Independence 1
South Carolina United Heat 0
TBD -
TBD -
Chicago Fire II 2
Forward Madison 0
TBD -
Indy Eleven -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
San Antonio FC -
Houston Dynamo -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Detroit City -
TBD -
Minnesota United 2 0
Michigan Stars 2
Sacramento Republic -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Monterey Bay -
TBD -
Ventura County 0
Irvine Zeta 3
San Jose Earthquakes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Oakland Roots -
TBD -
El Farolito 2
Central Valley Fuego 1
Seattle Sounders -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Louisville City -
TBD -
One Knoxville 2
Greenville Triumph 3
TBD -
TBD -
Vermont Green 1
Carolina Core 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Phoenix Rising -
Las Vegas Lights -
TBD -
Spokane Velocity 1
LA Force 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Los Angeles FC -
Orange County SC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Richmond Kickers 5
Maryland Bobcats 2
TBD -
Loudoun United -
Hartford Athletic -
TBD -
New York City II 4
New York Red Bulls II 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Colorado Springs -
New Mexico -
TBD -
Lubbock Matadors 2
Foro 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Real Salt Lake -
1/32-finals
Union Omaha 1
El Paso Locomotive 0
TBD -
Sporting Kansas City -
Pittsburgh Riverhounds -
TBD -
FC Tulsa 2
Northern Colorado 1
Tampa Bay -
TBD -
Birmingham Legion 4
Chattanooga Red Wolves 2
FC Dallas -
TBD -
Memphis 901 2
Miami United 0
Charleston -
TBD -
Miami FC 2
South Georgia Tormenta 4
Atlanta United -
TBD -
Charlotte Independence 5
Rhode Island 4
Chicago Fire II 0
Indy Eleven 1
TBD -
San Antonio FC -
Houston Dynamo -
TBD -
Detroit City 1
Michigan Stars 0
Sacramento Republic -
TBD -
Monterey Bay 2
Irvine Zeta 1
San Jose Earthquakes -
TBD -
Oakland Roots 2
El Farolito 1
Seattle Sounders -
TBD -
Louisville City 3
Greenville Triumph 1
North Carolina FC 1
Carolina Core 0
TBD -
Phoenix Rising -
Las Vegas Lights 2
Spokane Velocity 1
TBD -
Los Angeles FC -
Orange County SC -
TBD -
Richmond Kickers 0
Loudoun United 1
Hartford Athletic 2
New York City II 3
TBD -
Colorado Springs -
New Mexico 3
Lubbock Matadors 1
TBD -
Real Salt Lake -
1/16-finals
Union Omaha 1
Sporting Kansas City 2
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 0
FC Tulsa 1
Tampa Bay 6
Birmingham Legion 4
FC Dallas 1
Memphis 901 0
Charleston 3
South Georgia Tormenta 2
Atlanta United 3
Charlotte Independence 0
Indy Eleven 2
San Antonio FC 0
Houston Dynamo 3
Detroit City 4
Sacramento Republic 2
Monterey Bay 0
San Jose Earthquakes 1
Oakland Roots 0
Seattle Sounders 3
Louisville City 2
North Carolina FC 1
Phoenix Rising 2
Las Vegas Lights 1
Los Angeles FC 3
Orange County SC 1
Loudoun United 2
New York City II 1
Colorado Springs 0
New Mexico 4
Real Salt Lake 2
1/8-finals
Sporting Kansas City 4
FC Tulsa 0
Tampa Bay 1
FC Dallas 2
Charleston 0
Atlanta United 1
Indy Eleven 3
Detroit City 0
Sacramento Republic 4
San Jose Earthquakes 3
Seattle Sounders 2
Phoenix Rising 1
Los Angeles FC 3
Loudoun United 0
New York City II 0
New Mexico 3
Quarter-finals
Sporting Kansas City 2
FC Dallas 1
Atlanta United 1
Indy Eleven 2
Sacramento Republic 1
Seattle Sounders 2
Los Angeles FC 3
New Mexico 1
Semi-finals
Sporting Kansas City 2
Indy Eleven 0
Seattle Sounders 0
Los Angeles FC 1
Final
Sporting Kansas City 1
Los Angeles FC 3