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Chicago Stars W vs Seattle Reign W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

NWSL Women Martin Stadium, Evanston, IL
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
11:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chicago Stars W host Seattle Reign W in the NWSL Women. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Chicago Stars W at 0.59 goals for, 2.28 against; Seattle Reign W at 1.17 for, 1.17 against. Head-to-head, Chicago Stars W have won 2 to Seattle Reign W's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Aug 15, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 0.81 vs 2.13, favoring Seattle Reign W. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Chicago Stars W
15%
Draws
73%
Seattle Reign W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Seattle Reign W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Seattle Reign W have won more games recently than Chicago Stars W.
  • Seattle Reign W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular NWSL Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Chicago Stars W Clean Sheet 10%
Seattle Reign W Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chicago Stars W Seattle Reign W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 13
Draws 2 5
Losses 21 12
Goals Scored 0.59 1.17
Goals Conceded 2.28 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 NWSL Women
Seattle Reign W vs Chicago Stars W
1:0
Aug 19, 2025 NWSL Women
Seattle Reign W vs Chicago Stars W
3:3
Jun 14, 2025 NWSL Women
Chicago Stars W vs Seattle Reign W
2:2
Apr 21, 2024 NWSL Women
Seattle Reign W vs Chicago Stars W
1:2
Mar 23, 2024 NWSL Women
Chicago Stars W vs Seattle Reign W
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chicago Stars W 10 / 100
Seattle Reign W 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chicago Stars W Seattle Reign W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Seattle Reign W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Seattle Reign W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Seattle Reign W's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Chicago Stars W found the back of the net in 38% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Chicago Stars W VS Seattle Reign W
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
3 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chicago Stars W

(Home)
04 Oct
Chicago Stars W
0 : 3
Denver Summit W
26 Sept
Gotham FC W
3 : 1
Chicago Stars W
20 Sept
Chicago Stars W
0 : 3
Washington Spirit W
13 Sept
Portland Thorns FC W
1 : 1
Chicago Stars W
06 Sept
Chicago Stars W
0 : 6
North Carolina Courage W
Page 1 of 6

Seattle Reign W

(Away)
03 Oct
Seattle Reign W
0 : 1
North Carolina Courage W
26 Sept
Seattle Reign W
2 : 0
Boston Legacy W
20 Sept
Denver Summit W
2 : 1
Seattle Reign W
17 Sept
Angel City W
3 : 1
Seattle Reign W
13 Sept
Seattle Reign W
2 : 0
Bay FC W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gotham FC W 27 16 7 4 35:21 55
2 San Diego Wave W 27 16 3 8 40:28 51
3 Washington Spirit W 27 15 4 8 39:26 49
4 Utah Royals W 27 14 4 9 44:35 46
5 Kansas City Current W 27 13 5 9 48:38 44
6 Angel City W 27 12 7 8 45:29 43
7 Portland Thorns FC W 27 12 7 8 45:39 43
8 North Carolina Courage W 27 13 3 11 50:39 42
9 Seattle Reign W 27 12 4 11 33:32 40
10 Denver Summit W 27 10 8 9 45:37 38
11 Orlando Pride W 27 10 3 14 36:43 33
12 Houston Dash W 27 8 6 13 34:39 30
13 Boston Legacy W 27 8 5 14 36:46 29
14 Bay FC W 27 7 5 15 28:42 26
15 Racing Louisville W 27 7 3 17 36:52 24
16 Chicago Stars W 27 5 2 20 15:63 17
Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs)