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Chichester City vs Poole Town - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Southern League Premier South
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Davis C.
28' Event
Touray E.
82' Event
Clarke J.

AI Match Summary

The Southern League Premier South game between Chichester City and Poole Town finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Poole Town.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Chichester City
15%
Draws
67%
Poole Town
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Poole Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Poole Town carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Poole Town are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Chichester City Clean Sheet 10%
Poole Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chichester City Poole Town
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 10 15
Draws 6 6
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.67 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Chichester City vs Poole Town
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chichester City Compare

Top Goalscorer Clarke J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Poole Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Davis C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Touray E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chichester City 14 / 100
Poole Town 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chichester City Poole Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Poole Town Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chichester City found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (27 games).

Poole Town has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Chichester City went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chichester City VS Poole Town
2 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Chichester City

(Home)
29 Sept
Hanworth Villa
2 : 1
Chichester City
26 Sept
Thame United
1 : 2
Chichester City
22 Sept
Chichester City
2 : 2
Chertsey Town
19 Sept
Chichester City
2 : 3
SE Dons
12 Sept
Uxbridge
5 : 0
Chichester City
Page 1 of 6

Poole Town

(Away)
07 Oct
Gosport Borough
1 : 3
Poole Town
03 Oct
Poole Town
3 : 1
Evesham
29 Sept
Chertsey Town
1 : 3
Poole Town
26 Sept
Poole Town
1 : 0
Basingstoke
12 Sept
Havant & Waterlooville
0 : 1
Poole Town
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poole Town 10 7 0 3 17:12 21
2 Plymouth Parkway 9 6 2 1 23:8 20
3 Uxbridge 9 6 2 1 19:8 20
4 Hanworth Villa 9 6 1 2 17:8 19
5 Bath City 9 5 2 2 13:8 17
6 Frome Town 10 4 3 3 17:13 15
7 Chertsey Town 9 4 2 3 20:15 14
8 Taunton Town 9 4 1 4 23:22 13
9 Chichester City 9 4 1 4 14:16 13
10 Evesham 9 4 1 4 14:17 13
11 Berkhamsted Town 10 4 1 5 11:14 13
12 Wimborne 8 3 3 2 10:4 12
13 Gosport Borough 10 3 3 4 13:13 12
14 Yate 9 3 3 3 13:18 12
15 Bracknell Town 9 3 2 4 11:18 11
16 Sholing 8 3 1 4 9:12 10
17 Basingstoke 9 2 3 4 14:16 9
18 Hanwell Town 8 1 4 3 7:10 7
19 Gloucester City 9 1 4 4 12:17 7
20 Chippenham Town 8 2 1 5 7:16 7
21 Havant & Waterlooville 9 1 2 6 9:16 5
22 Malvern Town 9 1 2 6 13:25 5
Promotion - National League South 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)