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Chiclana vs AD Ceuta B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 10
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Match Events

81' Event
Owusu W.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 10 game between Chiclana and AD Ceuta B finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AD Ceuta B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Chiclana
30%
Draws
23%
AD Ceuta B
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chiclana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AD Ceuta B come out ahead of Chiclana on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Chiclana's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 10 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors AD Ceuta B here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Chiclana Clean Sheet 68%
AD Ceuta B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chiclana AD Ceuta B
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 9
Draws 12 8
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.14 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Chiclana vs AD Ceuta B
0:1
Apr 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Chiclana vs AD Ceuta B
1:1
Nov 22, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
AD Ceuta B vs Chiclana
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chiclana Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

AD Ceuta B Compare

Top Goalscorer Owusu W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chiclana 86 / 100
AD Ceuta B 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chiclana AD Ceuta B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chiclana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chiclana scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

AD Ceuta B let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.

Chiclana has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chiclana VS AD Ceuta B
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Chiclana

(Home)
04 Oct
Chiclana
1 : 1
Sevilla C
27 Sept
Portuense
2 : 3
Chiclana
19 Sept
Chiclana
0 : 1
AD Ceuta B
13 Sept
Cordoba B
0 : 0
Chiclana
05 Sept
Chiclana
2 : 1
Linense
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AD Ceuta B

(Away)
03 Oct
Dos Hermanas
5 : 0
AD Ceuta B
26 Sept
AD Ceuta B
0 : 1
Tomares UD
19 Sept
Chiclana
0 : 1
AD Ceuta B
12 Sept
AD Ceuta B
1 : 3
Egabrense
06 Sept
San Roque de Lepe
1 : 1
AD Ceuta B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dos Hermanas 5 4 1 0 13:2 13
2 CD Utrera 5 4 0 1 7:5 12
3 Betis C 5 3 1 1 11:6 10
4 Portuense 5 3 1 1 9:5 10
5 Pozoblanco 5 3 0 2 8:4 9
6 Egabrense 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
7 Chiclana 5 2 2 1 6:5 8
8 Tomares UD 5 2 2 1 6:5 8
9 San Roque de Lepe 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
10 Xerez Deportivo FC 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
11 Linense 5 2 0 3 8:9 6
12 Conil 5 2 0 3 4:7 6
13 Cadiz B 5 1 2 2 4:4 5
14 Sevilla C 5 1 2 2 5:7 5
15 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 5 1 1 3 6:10 4
16 AD Ceuta B 5 1 1 3 3:10 4
17 Bollullos 5 0 2 3 6:10 2
18 Cordoba B 5 0 1 4 3:10 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 10 (Play Offs)