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Chico vs Bucaramanga - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Estadio La Independencia, Tunja
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
11:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chico host Bucaramanga in the Primera A. This one's hard to separate. Bucaramanga have shipped 1.24 goals a game lately, while Chico have conceded 1.5 and scored 0.86. Past meetings favor Bucaramanga slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 12, 2026, ending 5:0. xG projections (1.06 - 1.44) back Bucaramanga to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Chico
30%
Draws
51%
Bucaramanga
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bucaramanga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Bucaramanga have won more games recently than Chico.
  • Win probability leans Bucaramanga's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Chico Clean Sheet 16%
Bucaramanga Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chico Bucaramanga
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 10
Draws 6 9
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 0.86 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Primera A
Bucaramanga vs Chico
5:0
Jul 12, 2025 Primera A
Bucaramanga vs Chico
1:1
Jun 10, 2025 Copa Colombia
Bucaramanga vs Chico
3:2
Jan 24, 2025 Primera A
Chico vs Bucaramanga
1:0
Nov 6, 2024 Primera A
Chico vs Bucaramanga
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chico 19 / 100
Bucaramanga 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chico Bucaramanga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bucaramanga Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Bucaramanga conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Chico scored in 43% of their last 28 games.

Recent resilience: Chico stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chico VS Bucaramanga
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Chico

(Home)
11 Oct
Chico
0 : 1
Cucuta
03 Oct
Deportes Tolima
0 : 0
Chico
25 Sept
Chico
3 : 0
Dep. Pasto
19 Sept
Millonarios
3 : 0
Chico
16 Sept
Chico
1 : 2
Alianza
Page 1 of 6

Bucaramanga

(Away)
13 Oct
Bucaramanga
1 : 1
Aguilas Doradas
04 Oct
Bucaramanga
3 : 1
Junior
26 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 3
Bucaramanga
20 Sept
Bucaramanga
2 : 0
Inter Bogotá
18 Sept
Bucaramanga
2 : 2
Ind. Medellin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America De Cali 13 8 3 2 25:9 27
2 Dep. Cali 13 7 4 2 20:9 25
3 Bucaramanga 12 6 6 0 21:11 24
4 Atl. Nacional 11 7 2 2 21:10 23
5 Ind. Medellin 13 7 2 4 21:17 23
6 Santa Fe 12 6 4 2 19:12 22
7 Millonarios 14 5 7 2 19:12 22
8 Deportes Tolima 14 5 5 4 17:16 20
9 Cucuta 13 5 3 5 16:19 18
10 Once Caldas 13 4 4 5 16:16 16
11 Aguilas Doradas 13 3 7 3 17:18 16
12 Llaneros 13 4 2 7 15:17 14
13 Inter Bogotá 14 2 8 4 16:20 14
14 Chico 12 3 3 6 10:19 12
15 Alianza 13 3 3 7 14:26 12
16 Junior 13 2 5 6 19:23 11
17 Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 13 1 8 4 14:19 11
18 Jaguares de Cordoba 12 2 4 6 14:22 10
19 Dep. Pereira 13 1 7 5 8:18 10
20 Dep. Pasto 12 2 3 7 9:18 9
Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular)