Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chico vs Llaneros

Colombia Colombia

Copa Colombia Estadio La Independencia, Tunja
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Miranda L.
79'
Vasquez J.
79'
Vasquez J.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Chico
15%
Draws
34%
Llaneros
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chico

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Chico haven't matched Llaneros's recent run of results.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Chico taking it.
  • Llaneros arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Chico, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Chico Clean Sheet 68%
Llaneros Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chico Llaneros
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 10
Draws 5 9
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.03 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 27, 2026 Copa Colombia
Chico vs Llaneros
0:1
May 2, 2026 Primera A
Chico vs Llaneros
3:0
Jul 23, 2025 Primera A
Llaneros vs Chico
2:1
Feb 8, 2025 Primera A
Chico vs Llaneros
2:2
Nov 2, 2022 Primera B
Chico vs Llaneros
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chico Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Llaneros Compare

Top Goalscorer Miranda L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chico 50 / 100
Llaneros 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chico Llaneros

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chico Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Llaneros has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Chico remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Llaneros registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chico VS Llaneros
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Chico

(Home)
25 Sept
Chico
3 : 0
Dep. Pasto
19 Sept
Millonarios
3 : 0
Chico
16 Sept
Chico
1 : 2
Alianza
12 Sept
Chico
2 : 1
Ind. Medellin
05 Sept
Chico
2 : 0
Once Caldas
Page 1 of 6

Llaneros

(Away)
26 Sept
Cucuta
2 : 1
Llaneros
21 Sept
Llaneros
2 : 0
Atl. Nacional
12 Sept
Inter Bogotá
3 : 2
Llaneros
07 Sept
Llaneros
1 : 2
Deportes Tolima
02 Sept
Quindio
1 : 2
Llaneros
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dep. Cali 4 4 0 0 10:2 12
2 Alianza 4 2 1 1 6:3 7
3 Boca Juniors de Cali 4 2 1 1 8:8 7
4 Bucaramanga 4 1 0 3 8:7 3
5 Real Santander 4 0 0 4 1:13 0
Promotion - Copa Colombia (First stage - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Millonarios 4 3 1 0 14:5 10
2 Llaneros 4 3 0 1 7:2 9
3 Chico 4 1 2 1 6:3 5
4 Patriotas 4 0 2 2 4:7 2
5 Atletico F.C. 4 0 1 3 2:16 1
Promotion - Copa Colombia (First stage - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ind. Medellin 4 2 2 0 5:3 8
2 Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 4 1 2 1 5:3 5
3 Leones 4 1 2 1 4:5 5
4 Cucuta 4 0 3 1 2:3 3
5 Orsomarso 4 0 3 1 3:5 3
Promotion - Copa Colombia (First stage - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dep. Pereira 4 2 2 0 4:2 8
2 Real Cundinamarca 4 2 1 1 6:4 7
3 Aguilas Doradas 4 1 3 0 7:4 6
4 Jaguares de Cordoba 4 1 1 2 4:3 4
5 Independiente Valle del Cauca 4 0 1 3 2:10 1
Promotion - Copa Colombia (First stage - Play Offs)