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Chievo vs Pavonese - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi, Verona
Chievo Logo

Chievo

1 - 0
FT
Pavonese Logo

Pavonese

Our Tip

Match Events

67' Event
Vuthaj D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Chievo in this Serie D - Group B matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chievo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Chievo
15%
Draws
37%
Pavonese
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chievo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Chievo lately — more wins on the board than Pavonese.
  • Chievo are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Chievo Clean Sheet 68%
Pavonese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chievo Pavonese
Matches Played 29 5
Wins 16 2
Draws 4 1
Losses 9 2
Goals Scored 1.59 1
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.98
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Serie D - Group B
Chievo vs Pavonese
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chievo Compare

Top Goalscorer Vuthaj D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Pavonese Compare

Avg xG / game 0.89
Avg xA / game 0.54

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chievo 86 / 100
Pavonese 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chievo Pavonese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chievo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pavonese let in goals in 80% of their last 5 matches.

Chievo scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Chievo has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Chievo VS Pavonese
2.13 Goals Scored 0.83
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 17%
50% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Chievo

(Home)
07 Oct
Brusaporto
2 : 1
Chievo
03 Oct
Chievo
5 : 0
Tritium
27 Sept
Nibbiano & Valtidone
2 : 0
Chievo
21 Sept
Chievo
2 : 1
Ciserano-Bergamo
16 Sept
Chievo
2 : 0
Club Milano
Page 1 of 6

Pavonese

(Away)
27 Sept
Virtus Verona
0 : 1
Pavonese
20 Sept
Pavonese
3 : 2
Tritium
16 Sept
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 1
Pavonese
12 Sept
Pavonese
0 : 2
Club Milano
05 Sept
Chievo
1 : 0
Pavonese

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chievo 6 5 0 1 14:6 15
2 Nibbiano & Valtidone 6 5 0 1 7:2 15
3 Piacenza 5 3 1 1 10:4 10
4 Pro Palazzolo 6 3 1 2 6:7 10
5 Ciserano-Bergamo 6 2 3 1 8:4 9
6 AC Leon 6 2 3 1 9:7 9
7 Caldiero Terme 6 2 3 1 9:8 9
8 AC Milan U23 4 3 0 1 8:7 9
9 Brusaporto 6 3 0 3 7:8 9
10 Real Calepina 6 2 2 2 11:9 8
11 Virtus Verona 6 2 2 2 5:7 8
12 Villa Valle 6 1 4 1 6:6 7
13 Pavonese 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
14 Scanzorosciate 6 1 2 3 5:8 5
15 Club Milano 6 1 1 4 4:7 4
16 Rovato Vertovese 6 0 3 3 8:12 3
17 Fiorenzuola 6 0 2 4 1:7 2
18 Tritium 6 0 2 4 7:15 2
Promotion - Serie D - Group B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B (Play Out)