Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chievo vs Rovato Vertovese

Italy Italy

Coppa Italia Serie D Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi, Verona
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Pelamatti M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Chievo
35%
Draws
20%
Rovato Vertovese
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Chievo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Chievo come out ahead of Rovato Vertovese on wins alone.
  • Model gives Chievo a 45% chance of winning this.
  • Chievo have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Rovato Vertovese, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Chievo Clean Sheet 68%
Rovato Vertovese Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chievo Rovato Vertovese
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 16 13
Draws 5 10
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.53 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.3 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie D
Chievo vs Rovato Vertovese
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chievo 68 / 100
Rovato Vertovese 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chievo Rovato Vertovese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chievo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Chievo scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Chievo remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Rovato Vertovese has conceded goals in 58% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Chievo VS Rovato Vertovese
1.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Chievo

(Home)
17 May
USD Casatese
2 : 3
Chievo
10 May
Chievo
2 : 1
AC Milan U23
03 May
Chievo
2 : 1
Pavia
26 Apr
AC Leon
2 : 2
Chievo
19 Apr
Chievo
2 : 2
Castellanzese
Page 1 of 6

Rovato Vertovese

(Away)
08 Aug
Rovato Vertovese
2 : 2
Ospitaletto
03 May
Imolese
1 : 0
Rovato Vertovese
26 Apr
Rovato Vertovese
2 : 0
Sangiuliano City
19 Apr
Sasso Marconi
2 : 1
Rovato Vertovese
12 Apr
Cittadella Vis Modena
0 : 0
Rovato Vertovese
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Asti Calcio 2
Chisola 0
Ligorna 1
NovaRomentin 2
Vado 3
Sestri Levante 0
Tau 1
Pistoiese 3
Piacenza 2
SCD Progresso 1
Pavia 2
Sant'Angelo 0
Prato 2
Montevarchi 1
Correggese 2
Imolese 1
Sondrio 1
Breno 0
Folgore Caratese 2
Club Milano 3
AC Milan U23 2
Varesina 3
Brusaporto 0
Ciserano-Bergamo 1
Chievo 0
Rovato Vertovese 1
Este 3
Vigasio 2
Cjarlins Muzane 1
Brian Lignano 2
Luparense FC 0
Mestre 1
Fossombrone 0
Ancona 1
Foligno 0
Atletico Ascoli 2
Orvietana 2
Siena 0
Follonica Gavorrano 0
Valmontone 1
Notaresco Calcio 2
Termoli 0
Albalonga 2
Aquila Calcio 1
Grosseto 0
Unipomezia 1
Trastevere Calcio 2
Budoni Calcio 0
Martina Calcio 3
Sarnese 1
Ferrandina 2
Francavilla 3
A.C. Savoia 2
Paganese 1
Citta di Fasano 3
Gravina 0
Nocerina 4
Gelbison 2
Sambiase 0
Reggina 1
Castrumfavara 3
Igea Virtus 1
Enna 0
Sancataldese 2
1/16-finals
Asti Calcio 3
NovaRomentin 2
Vado 0
Pistoiese 3
Piacenza 2
Pavia 1
Prato 1
Correggese 4
Sondrio 0
Club Milano 3
Varesina 4
Ciserano-Bergamo 1
Rovato Vertovese 1
Este 3
Brian Lignano 0
Mestre 1
Ancona 1
Atletico Ascoli 0
Orvietana 0
Valmontone 1
Notaresco Calcio 2
Albalonga 1
Unipomezia 3
Trastevere Calcio 1
Martina Calcio 1
Francavilla 2
A.C. Savoia 3
Citta di Fasano 4
Nocerina 3
Reggina 2
Castrumfavara 3
Sancataldese 2
1/8-finals
Asti Calcio 1
Pistoiese 3
Piacenza 0
Correggese 1
Club Milano 1
Varesina 0
Este 1
Mestre 2
Ancona 2
Valmontone 1
Notaresco Calcio 0
Unipomezia 1
Francavilla 3
Citta di Fasano 2
Nocerina 2
Castrumfavara 0
Quarter-finals
Pistoiese 2
Correggese 0
Club Milano 1
Mestre 0
Ancona 2
Unipomezia 1
Francavilla 1
Nocerina 0
Semi-finals
Pistoiese 3
Club Milano 1
Ancona 2
Francavilla 1
Final
Pistoiese 3
Ancona 0