Sport Picks
Chievo vs Rovato Vertovese - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Coppa Italia Serie D 2025/2026 Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi, Verona 
Match Events
55'
55'
Pelamatti M.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
This match ends 0-1, with Rovato Vertovese advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
52%
30%
18%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chievo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Chievo come out ahead of Rovato Vertovese on wins alone.
- Model gives Chievo a 52% chance of winning this.
- Chievo have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Rovato Vertovese, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Chievo Clean Sheet 68%
Rovato Vertovese Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chievo | Rovato Vertovese |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 9 |
| Draws | 4 | 11 |
| Losses | 9 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.59 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 Serie D - Group B
Rovato Vertovese vs Chievo
3:4
Oct 8, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie D
Chievo vs Rovato Vertovese
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chievo 95 / 100
Rovato Vertovese 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chievo Rovato Vertovese
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Chievo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
Chievo found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).
Rovato Vertovese has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.
Solid form: Chievo remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Chievo VS Rovato Vertovese
2 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Chievo
(Home) 07 Oct
Brusaporto
2 : 1 Chievo
03 Oct
Chievo
5 : 0 Tritium
27 Sept
Nibbiano & Valtidone
2 : 0 Chievo
21 Sept
Chievo
2 : 1 Ciserano-Bergamo
16 Sept
Chievo
2 : 0 Club Milano
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03 Oct
Chievo
5 : 0 Tritium
21 Sept
Chievo
2 : 1 Ciserano-Bergamo
16 Sept
Chievo
2 : 0 Club Milano
05 Sept
Chievo
1 : 0 Pavonese
10 May
Chievo
2 : 1 AC Milan U23
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Rovato Vertovese
(Away) 04 Oct
Rovato Vertovese
0 : 1 Real Calepina
27 Sept
Tritium
2 : 2 Rovato Vertovese
20 Sept
Rovato Vertovese
2 : 2 AC Leon
16 Sept
Virtus Verona
1 : 1 Rovato Vertovese
12 Sept
Rovato Vertovese
3 : 4 Chievo
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27 Sept
Tritium
2 : 2 Rovato Vertovese
16 Sept
Virtus Verona
1 : 1 Rovato Vertovese
06 Sept
Ciserano-Bergamo
2 : 0 Rovato Vertovese
03 May
Imolese
1 : 0 Rovato Vertovese
19 Apr
Sasso Marconi
2 : 1 Rovato Vertovese
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Asti Calcio 2
Chisola 0
Ligorna 1
NovaRomentin 2
Vado 3
Sestri Levante 0
Tau 1
Pistoiese 3
Piacenza 2
SCD Progresso 1
Pavia 2
Sant'Angelo 0
Prato 2
Montevarchi 1
Correggese 2
Imolese 1
Sondrio 1
Breno 0
Folgore Caratese 2
Club Milano 3
AC Milan U23 2
Varesina 3
Brusaporto 0
Ciserano-Bergamo 1
Chievo 0
Rovato Vertovese 1
Este 3
Vigasio 2
Cjarlins Muzane 1
Brian Lignano 2
Luparense FC 0
Mestre 1
Fossombrone 0
Ancona 1
Foligno 0
Atletico Ascoli 2
Orvietana 2
Siena 0
Follonica Gavorrano 0
Valmontone 1
Notaresco Calcio 2
Termoli 0
Albalonga 2
Aquila Calcio 1
Grosseto 0
Unipomezia 1
Trastevere Calcio 2
Budoni Calcio 0
Martina Calcio 3
Sarnese 1
Ferrandina 2
Francavilla 3
A.C. Savoia 2
Paganese 1
Citta di Fasano 3
Gravina 0
Nocerina 4
Gelbison 2
Sambiase 0
Reggina 1
Castrumfavara 3
Igea Virtus 1
Enna 0
Sancataldese 2
1/16-finals
Asti Calcio 3
NovaRomentin 2
Vado 0
Pistoiese 3
Piacenza 2
Pavia 1
Prato 1
Correggese 4
Sondrio 0
Club Milano 3
Varesina 4
Ciserano-Bergamo 1
Rovato Vertovese 1
Este 3
Brian Lignano 0
Mestre 1
Ancona 1
Atletico Ascoli 0
Orvietana 0
Valmontone 1
Notaresco Calcio 2
Albalonga 1
Unipomezia 3
Trastevere Calcio 1
Martina Calcio 1
Francavilla 2
A.C. Savoia 3
Citta di Fasano 4
Nocerina 3
Reggina 2
Castrumfavara 3
Sancataldese 2
1/8-finals
Asti Calcio 1
Pistoiese 3
Piacenza 0
Correggese 1
Club Milano 1
Varesina 0
Este 1
Mestre 2
Ancona 2
Valmontone 1
Notaresco Calcio 0
Unipomezia 1
Francavilla 3
Citta di Fasano 2
Nocerina 2
Castrumfavara 0
Quarter-finals
Pistoiese 2
Correggese 0
Club Milano 1
Mestre 0
Ancona 2
Unipomezia 1
Francavilla 1
Nocerina 0
Semi-finals
Pistoiese 3
Club Milano 1
Ancona 2
Francavilla 1
Final
Pistoiese 3
Ancona 0
