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Chilangos vs Artesanos Metepec

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie B 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Gonzalez N.
78' Event
Montes de Oca C.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga Premier Serie B 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Chilangos
15%
Draws
58%
Artesanos Metepec
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Artesanos Metepec

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Artesanos Metepec lately — more wins on the board than Chilangos.
  • Model gives Artesanos Metepec a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga Premier Serie B 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Chilangos Clean Sheet 22%
Artesanos Metepec Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chilangos Artesanos Metepec
Matches Played 28 42
Wins 11 28
Draws 5 7
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.43 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.46 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2024 Liga Premier Serie B
Chilangos vs Artesanos Metepec
1:1
Sep 16, 2023 Liga Premier Serie B
Artesanos Metepec vs Chilangos
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chilangos Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Artesanos Metepec Compare

Top Goalscorer Montes de Oca C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chilangos 13 / 100
Artesanos Metepec 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chilangos Artesanos Metepec

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Artesanos Metepec Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chilangos scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Chilangos has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Artesanos Metepec's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 42 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Artesanos Metepec
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Chilangos

(Home)
19 Apr
Chilangos
3 : 2
Club CDM
13 Apr
Zitacuaro
2 : 0
Chilangos
05 Apr
Chilangos
2 : 0
Deportivo Dongu
28 Mar
Chilangos
0 : 1
Aguacateros CD Uruapan
15 Mar
Chilangos
1 : 1
Canoneros FC
Page 1 of 6

Artesanos Metepec

(Away)
03 Oct
Artesanos Metepec
3 : 0
Canoneros FC
27 Sept
Acambaro
2 : 3
Artesanos Metepec
19 Sept
Artesanos Metepec
2 : 1
Halcones Negros
16 Sept
Ciervos
0 : 3
Artesanos Metepec
05 Sept
Artesanos Metepec
3 : 0
Calor De San Pedro
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Ayense 28 22 2 4 81:33 73
2 Aguacateros CD Uruapan 28 19 2 7 63:24 65
3 Artesanos Metepec 28 19 3 6 47:20 61
4 Club CDM 28 17 3 8 68:27 60
5 FC Santiago 28 18 4 6 43:20 58
6 Chilpancingo 28 17 2 9 50:27 57
7 Pachuca 2 28 17 3 8 52:35 54
8 Poza Rica 28 13 2 13 42:36 44
9 Chilangos 28 11 5 12 40:41 42
10 Caja Oblatos 28 8 5 15 32:59 29
11 Huracanes Izcalli 28 7 5 16 31:45 28
12 Zitacuaro 28 6 7 15 23:50 25
13 Canoneros FC 28 5 2 21 16:49 17
14 Deportivo Dongu 28 4 1 23 29:81 15
15 Ciervos 28 3 2 23 15:85 12
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie B 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie B 2023/2024 (Play Offs)