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Chilangos vs CD Ayense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie B 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Favela S.
30' Event
Delgado C.
89' Event
Castro Castaneda E. E.

AI Match Summary

CD Ayense in this Liga Premier Serie B 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Ayense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Chilangos
20%
Draws
29%
CD Ayense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chilangos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • CD Ayense have won more games recently than Chilangos.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Chilangos taking it.
  • Regular Liga Premier Serie B 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Chilangos Clean Sheet 19%
CD Ayense Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chilangos CD Ayense
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 11 14
Draws 5 4
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.43 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2024 Liga Premier Serie B
Chilangos vs CD Ayense
1:2
Oct 1, 2023 Liga Premier Serie B
CD Ayense vs Chilangos
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chilangos Compare

Top Goalscorer Favela S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

CD Ayense Compare

Top Goalscorer Delgado C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Castro Castaneda E. E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chilangos 49 / 100
CD Ayense 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chilangos CD Ayense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chilangos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Chilangos's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: CD Ayense conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.

Solid form: Chilangos remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS CD Ayense
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chilangos

(Home)
19 Apr
Chilangos
3 : 2
Club CDM
13 Apr
Zitacuaro
2 : 0
Chilangos
05 Apr
Chilangos
2 : 0
Deportivo Dongu
28 Mar
Chilangos
0 : 1
Aguacateros CD Uruapan
15 Mar
Chilangos
1 : 1
Canoneros FC
Page 1 of 6

CD Ayense

(Away)
04 Oct
CD Ayense
1 : 2
Racing de Veracruz 2
19 Sept
Cruz Azul Lagunas
2 : 1
CD Ayense
05 Sept
Gorilas de Juanacatlan
1 : 0
CD Ayense
30 Aug
CD Ayense
2 : 0
Huracanes Izcalli
28 Mar
Racing de Veracruz 2
2 : 2
CD Ayense
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Ayense 28 22 2 4 81:33 73
2 Aguacateros CD Uruapan 28 19 2 7 63:24 65
3 Artesanos Metepec 28 19 3 6 47:20 61
4 Club CDM 28 17 3 8 68:27 60
5 FC Santiago 28 18 4 6 43:20 58
6 Chilpancingo 28 17 2 9 50:27 57
7 Pachuca 2 28 17 3 8 52:35 54
8 Poza Rica 28 13 2 13 42:36 44
9 Chilangos 28 11 5 12 40:41 42
10 Caja Oblatos 28 8 5 15 32:59 29
11 Huracanes Izcalli 28 7 5 16 31:45 28
12 Zitacuaro 28 6 7 15 23:50 25
13 Canoneros FC 28 5 2 21 16:49 17
14 Deportivo Dongu 28 4 1 23 29:81 15
15 Ciervos 28 3 2 23 15:85 12
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie B 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie B 2023/2024 (Play Offs)