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Chilangos vs Ciervos

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie B 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Farjeat M.
46' Event
Gonzalez Ferreira D. A.
50' Event
Martinez V.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Premier Serie B 2023/2024 game between Chilangos and Ciervos finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chilangos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Chilangos
15%
Draws
26%
Ciervos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chilangos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Chilangos carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Chilangos a 59% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Chilangos Clean Sheet 20%
Ciervos Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chilangos Ciervos
Matches Played 28 40
Wins 11 8
Draws 5 5
Losses 12 27
Goals Scored 1.43 0.82
Goals Conceded 1.46 2.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2024 Liga Premier Serie B
Ciervos vs Chilangos
1:3
Oct 6, 2023 Liga Premier Serie B
Chilangos vs Ciervos
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chilangos Compare

Top Goalscorer Farjeat M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gonzalez Ferreira D. A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Ciervos Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chilangos 85 / 100
Ciervos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chilangos Ciervos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chilangos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ciervos has conceded goals in 88% of their last 40 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Chilangos found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Recent resilience: Chilangos stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ciervos
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chilangos

(Home)
19 Apr
Chilangos
3 : 2
Club CDM
13 Apr
Zitacuaro
2 : 0
Chilangos
05 Apr
Chilangos
2 : 0
Deportivo Dongu
28 Mar
Chilangos
0 : 1
Aguacateros CD Uruapan
15 Mar
Chilangos
1 : 1
Canoneros FC
Page 1 of 6

Ciervos

(Away)
03 Oct
Ciervos
0 : 5
Halcones Negros
25 Sept
Real Refineros
3 : 4
Ciervos
19 Sept
Calor De San Pedro
4 : 0
Ciervos
16 Sept
Ciervos
0 : 3
Artesanos Metepec
05 Sept
Guerreros del Pacifico
2 : 0
Ciervos
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Ayense 28 22 2 4 81:33 73
2 Aguacateros CD Uruapan 28 19 2 7 63:24 65
3 Artesanos Metepec 28 19 3 6 47:20 61
4 Club CDM 28 17 3 8 68:27 60
5 FC Santiago 28 18 4 6 43:20 58
6 Chilpancingo 28 17 2 9 50:27 57
7 Pachuca 2 28 17 3 8 52:35 54
8 Poza Rica 28 13 2 13 42:36 44
9 Chilangos 28 11 5 12 40:41 42
10 Caja Oblatos 28 8 5 15 32:59 29
11 Huracanes Izcalli 28 7 5 16 31:45 28
12 Zitacuaro 28 6 7 15 23:50 25
13 Canoneros FC 28 5 2 21 16:49 17
14 Deportivo Dongu 28 4 1 23 29:81 15
15 Ciervos 28 3 2 23 15:85 12
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie B 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie B 2023/2024 (Play Offs)