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Chilangos vs Deportivo Dongu

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie B 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Lesnov N.
58' Event
Martinez V.

AI Match Summary

Chilangos in this Liga Premier Serie B 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chilangos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Chilangos
15%
Draws
26%
Deportivo Dongu
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chilangos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Chilangos have won more games recently than Deportivo Dongu.
  • Win probability leans Chilangos's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Liga Premier Serie B 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Chilangos Clean Sheet 20%
Deportivo Dongu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chilangos Deportivo Dongu
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 11 4
Draws 5 1
Losses 12 25
Goals Scored 1.43 1
Goals Conceded 1.46 2.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2024 Liga Premier Serie B
Chilangos vs Deportivo Dongu
2:0
Nov 3, 2023 Liga Premier Serie B
Deportivo Dongu vs Chilangos
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chilangos Compare

Top Goalscorer Lesnov N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Martinez V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Deportivo Dongu Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chilangos 85 / 100
Deportivo Dongu 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chilangos Deportivo Dongu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chilangos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Deportivo Dongu has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Chilangos scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Chilangos went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chilangos VS Deportivo Dongu
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Chilangos

(Home)
19 Apr
Chilangos
3 : 2
Club CDM
13 Apr
Zitacuaro
2 : 0
Chilangos
05 Apr
Chilangos
2 : 0
Deportivo Dongu
28 Mar
Chilangos
0 : 1
Aguacateros CD Uruapan
15 Mar
Chilangos
1 : 1
Canoneros FC
Page 1 of 6

Deportivo Dongu

(Away)
19 Apr
Deportivo Dongu
2 : 0
Zitacuaro
13 Apr
Artesanos Metepec
4 : 0
Deportivo Dongu
05 Apr
Chilangos
2 : 0
Deportivo Dongu
29 Mar
Deportivo Dongu
0 : 3
Caja Oblatos
23 Mar
Aguacateros CD Uruapan
5 : 0
Deportivo Dongu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Ayense 28 22 2 4 81:33 73
2 Aguacateros CD Uruapan 28 19 2 7 63:24 65
3 Artesanos Metepec 28 19 3 6 47:20 61
4 Club CDM 28 17 3 8 68:27 60
5 FC Santiago 28 18 4 6 43:20 58
6 Chilpancingo 28 17 2 9 50:27 57
7 Pachuca 2 28 17 3 8 52:35 54
8 Poza Rica 28 13 2 13 42:36 44
9 Chilangos 28 11 5 12 40:41 42
10 Caja Oblatos 28 8 5 15 32:59 29
11 Huracanes Izcalli 28 7 5 16 31:45 28
12 Zitacuaro 28 6 7 15 23:50 25
13 Canoneros FC 28 5 2 21 16:49 17
14 Deportivo Dongu 28 4 1 23 29:81 15
15 Ciervos 28 3 2 23 15:85 12
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie B 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie B 2023/2024 (Play Offs)