Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chilangos vs Zitacuaro

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie B 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

68' Event
Farjeat M.

AI Match Summary

Chilangos in this Liga Premier Serie B 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chilangos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Chilangos
30%
Draws
29%
Zitacuaro
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chilangos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Zitacuaro haven't matched Chilangos's recent run of results.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Chilangos taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Chilangos Clean Sheet 20%
Zitacuaro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chilangos Zitacuaro
Matches Played 28 34
Wins 11 9
Draws 5 12
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.43 1
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2024 Liga Premier Serie B
Zitacuaro vs Chilangos
2:0
Nov 10, 2023 Liga Premier Serie B
Chilangos vs Zitacuaro
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chilangos Compare

Top Goalscorer Farjeat M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Zitacuaro Compare

Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chilangos 58 / 100
Zitacuaro 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chilangos Zitacuaro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chilangos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chilangos scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Zitacuaro conceded in 74% of 34 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Solid form: Chilangos remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Zitacuaro
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chilangos

(Home)
19 Apr
Chilangos
3 : 2
Club CDM
13 Apr
Zitacuaro
2 : 0
Chilangos
05 Apr
Chilangos
2 : 0
Deportivo Dongu
28 Mar
Chilangos
0 : 1
Aguacateros CD Uruapan
15 Mar
Chilangos
1 : 1
Canoneros FC
Page 1 of 6

Zitacuaro

(Away)
11 Apr
Zitacuaro
1 : 0
Halcones de Zapopan
06 Apr
Zitacuaro
1 : 1
FC Santiago
29 Mar
Lobos ULMX
1 : 0
Zitacuaro
24 Mar
Zitacuaro
1 : 2
Apodaca
14 Mar
Chilpancingo
1 : 1
Zitacuaro
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Ayense 28 22 2 4 81:33 73
2 Aguacateros CD Uruapan 28 19 2 7 63:24 65
3 Artesanos Metepec 28 19 3 6 47:20 61
4 Club CDM 28 17 3 8 68:27 60
5 FC Santiago 28 18 4 6 43:20 58
6 Chilpancingo 28 17 2 9 50:27 57
7 Pachuca 2 28 17 3 8 52:35 54
8 Poza Rica 28 13 2 13 42:36 44
9 Chilangos 28 11 5 12 40:41 42
10 Caja Oblatos 28 8 5 15 32:59 29
11 Huracanes Izcalli 28 7 5 16 31:45 28
12 Zitacuaro 28 6 7 15 23:50 25
13 Canoneros FC 28 5 2 21 16:49 17
14 Deportivo Dongu 28 4 1 23 29:81 15
15 Ciervos 28 3 2 23 15:85 12
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie B 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie B 2023/2024 (Play Offs)