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Chile U17 W vs Ecuador U17 W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International Women 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Carter Galloso N. A.
45' Event
Vargas E.
63' Event
Briones V.

AI Match Summary

Chile U17 W in this Friendly International Women 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chile U17 W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Chile U17 W
30%
Draws
39%
Ecuador U17 W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ecuador U17 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Chile U17 W have won more games recently than Ecuador U17 W.
  • Chile U17 W are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Chile U17 W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Chile U17 W Clean Sheet 20%
Ecuador U17 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chile U17 W Ecuador U17 W
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 16 12
Draws 8 5
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 2.16 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.22 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 South American Championship Women U17
Chile U17 W vs Ecuador U17 W
2:1
May 12, 2025 South American Championship Women U17
Chile U17 W vs Ecuador U17 W
0:2
Apr 4, 2025 Friendly International Women
Chile U17 W vs Ecuador U17 W
3:2
Mar 17, 2024 South American Championship Women U17
Chile U17 W vs Ecuador U17 W
5:1
Mar 1, 2022 South American Championship Women U17
Ecuador U17 W vs Chile U17 W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chile U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Carter Galloso N. A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Munoz C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Ecuador U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Vargas E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Briones V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chile U17 W 76 / 100
Ecuador U17 W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chile U17 W Ecuador U17 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chile U17 W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chile U17 W found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (32 games).

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Ecuador U17 W conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Chile U17 W remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Chile U17 W VS Ecuador U17 W
2.63 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chile U17 W

(Home)
17 Aug
USA U17 W
1 : 0
Chile U17 W
14 Aug
Chile U17 W
0 : 3
Canada U17 W
09 May
Chile U17 W
2 : 1
Ecuador U17 W
06 May
Brazil U17 W
3 : 2
Chile U17 W
03 May
Chile U17 W
2 : 2
Argentina U17 W
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Ecuador U17 W

(Away)
09 May
Chile U17 W
2 : 1
Ecuador U17 W
03 May
Brazil U17 W
4 : 0
Ecuador U17 W
01 May
Ecuador U17 W
0 : 0
Uruguay U17 W
29 Apr
Ecuador U17 W
1 : 1
Peru U17 W
27 Apr
Venezuela U17 W
0 : 1
Ecuador U17 W
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