Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chile U20 vs Ecuador U20

World World

Friendly International 2024 Estadio Municipal Nicolás Chahuán, La Calera
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2024 game between Chile U20 and Ecuador U20 finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chile U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Chile U20
30%
Draws
39%
Ecuador U20
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ecuador U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Ecuador U20 haven't matched Chile U20's recent run of results.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Friendly International 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Chile U20 Clean Sheet 18%
Ecuador U20 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chile U20 Ecuador U20
Matches Played 32 26
Wins 11 8
Draws 7 6
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.25 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2025 South American Championship U20
Ecuador U20 vs Chile U20
0:0
Jun 23, 2024 Friendly International
Chile U20 vs Ecuador U20
3:2
Jan 21, 2023 South American Championship U20
Ecuador U20 vs Chile U20
1:1
Oct 6, 2022 South American Games U19
Chile U20 vs Ecuador U20
1:2
Jan 22, 2017 South American Championship U20
Ecuador U20 vs Chile U20
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chile U20 32 / 100
Ecuador U20 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chile U20 Ecuador U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ecuador U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chile U20 scored in 84% of their last 32 games.

Ecuador U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 26 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Chile U20 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Chile U20 VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Chile U20

(Home)
06 Jun
Chile U20
0 : 1
Brazil U20
31 Mar
Chile U20
1 : 1
Peru U20
29 Mar
Chile U20
2 : 1
Peru U20
07 Oct
Chile U20
1 : 4
Mexico U20
03 Oct
Egypt U20
2 : 1
Chile U20
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Ecuador U20

(Away)
01 Feb
Ecuador U20
0 : 0
Argentina U20
30 Jan
Ecuador U20
2 : 3
Brazil U20
28 Jan
Colombia U20
1 : 0
Ecuador U20
24 Jan
Bolivia U20
1 : 2
Ecuador U20
20 Dec
Peru U20
2 : 2
Ecuador U20
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