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Chile U23 vs Dominican Republic U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Pan American Games Estadio Sausalito, Vina del Mar
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Match Events

15' Event
Fuentes C.
28' Event
Alfaro J.
75' Event
Assadi L.

AI Match Summary

The Pan American Games game between Chile U23 and Dominican Republic U23 finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chile U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Chile U23
15%
Draws
21%
Dominican Republic U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chile U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Chile U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Chile U23 a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Chile U23 Clean Sheet 68%
Dominican Republic U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chile U23 Dominican Republic U23
Matches Played 27 16
Wins 15 3
Draws 4 1
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.48 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.15 2.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 0.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2023 Pan American Games
Chile U23 vs Dominican Republic U23
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chile U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Fuentes C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alfaro J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Dominican Republic U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.4
Avg xA / game 0.24

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chile U23 95 / 100
Dominican Republic U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chile U23 Dominican Republic U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chile U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dominican Republic U23 has conceded goals in 81% of their last 16 outings.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Chile U23 scored in 78% of their last 27 outings.

Recent resilience: Chile U23 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chile U23 VS Dominican Republic U23
1.63 Goals Scored 0.5
0.38 Goals Conceded 2.75
38% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Chile U23

(Home)
02 Feb
Chile U23
2 : 1
Paraguay U23
30 Jan
Chile U23
0 : 5
Argentina U23
27 Jan
Uruguay U23
0 : 1
Chile U23
21 Jan
Peru U23
1 : 0
Chile U23
12 Jan
Chile U23
3 : 0
Bolivia U23
Page 1 of 6

Dominican Republic U23

(Away)
20 Feb
Dominican Republic U23
0 : 1
Las Vegas Lights
11 Jul
France U23
7 : 0
Dominican Republic U23
26 Mar
Paraguay U23
1 : 2
Dominican Republic U23
23 Mar
Paraguay U23
2 : 0
Dominican Republic U23
13 Jan
Colombia U23
5 : 0
Dominican Republic U23
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chile U23 3 3 0 0 7:0 9
2 Mexico U23 3 1 1 1 1:1 4
3 Uruguay U23 3 1 0 2 1:2 3
4 Dominican Republic U23 3 0 1 2 0:6 1
Promotion - Pan American Games (Play Offs)
Promotion - Pan American Games (5th-8th places)
Promotion - Pan American Games (5th-8th places)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brazil U23 3 3 0 0 6:0 9
2 USA U23 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
3 Colombia U23 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
4 Honduras U23 3 0 0 3 1:7 0
Promotion - Pan American Games (Play Offs)
Promotion - Pan American Games (5th-8th places)
Promotion - Pan American Games (5th-8th places)