Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chile U23 vs Paraguay U23

World World

Olympic Games
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Tapia G.
Assist: Rojas J.
33' Event
Leguizamon I.
Assist: Fernandez M.
46'
Sub
De Jesus R. In: Cardozo J.
Out: De Jesus R.

AI Match Summary

The Olympic Games game between Chile U23 and Paraguay U23 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chile U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Chile U23
15%
Draws
8%
Paraguay U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chile U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Chile U23 come out ahead of Paraguay U23 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Chile U23 a 77% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Olympic Games form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 61.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Chile U23 Clean Sheet 68%
Paraguay U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chile U23 Paraguay U23
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 15 13
Draws 4 5
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.48 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.15 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.51
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2024 Olympic Games
Chile U23 vs Paraguay U23
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chile U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Tapia G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Assadi L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Paraguay U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Leguizamon I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.37
Avg xA / game 0.84

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chile U23 95 / 100
Paraguay U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chile U23 Paraguay U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chile U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chile U23 found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (27 games).

Paraguay U23 has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Chile U23 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chile U23 VS Paraguay U23
1.2 Goals Scored 1.63
1.4 Goals Conceded 1.63
60% Over 1.5 63%
60% Over 2.5 50%
20% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Chile U23

(Home)
02 Feb
Chile U23
2 : 1
Paraguay U23
30 Jan
Chile U23
0 : 5
Argentina U23
27 Jan
Uruguay U23
0 : 1
Chile U23
21 Jan
Peru U23
1 : 0
Chile U23
12 Jan
Chile U23
3 : 0
Bolivia U23
Page 1 of 6

Paraguay U23

(Away)
18 Jul
Ukraine U23
2 : 2
Paraguay U23
13 Jul
USA U23
1 : 0
Paraguay U23
04 Jul
France U23
4 : 1
Paraguay U23
10 Jun
Argentina U23
2 : 0
Paraguay U23
08 Jun
Argentina U23
4 : 0
Paraguay U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brazil U23 4 3 0 1 6:4 9
2 Venezuela U23 4 2 2 0 8:5 8
3 Ecuador U23 4 2 1 1 7:3 7
4 Bolivia U23 4 1 1 2 5:6 4
5 Colombia U23 4 0 0 4 0:8 0
Promotion - Olympic Games (Final Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Argentina U23 4 2 2 0 11:4 8
2 Paraguay U23 4 2 1 1 7:6 7
3 Chile U23 4 2 0 2 3:7 6
4 Uruguay U23 4 1 1 2 9:8 4
5 Peru U23 4 1 0 3 1:6 3
Promotion - Olympic Games (Final Group)