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Friendly International 2025 Estadio Bicentenario de La Florida

Peru

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Chile play Peru in the Friendly International 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Chile averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. Peru averaged 0.74 goals scored and 1.19 conceded. In past meetings, Chile won 3, Peru won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Nov 18, 2025 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Chile and 1.13 for Peru. This points to a Chile double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%

Chile

29%

Draws

28%

Peru

Draw rate projection: 29% Favored: Chile

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Chile picked up more points recently compared to Peru.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 1.13 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 64%

Over 2.5 Goals 42%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35%

Chile Clean Sheet 21%

Peru Clean Sheet 11%

First Half Goal 58%

Second Half Goal 61%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Chile	Peru
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	10	7
Draws	6	9
Losses	14	15
Goals Scored	1.2	0.74
Goals Conceded	1.33	1.19
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 18, 2025 Friendly International

Chile vs Peru

Possession: 47% - 59% Cards: 2 - 3

2:1

Oct 10, 2025 Friendly International

Chile vs Peru

Possession: 53% - 47% Cards: 1 - 1

2:1

Nov 16, 2024 World Championship

Peru vs Chile

Possession: 44% - 52% Cards: 2 - 3

0:0

Jun 22, 2024 Copa América

Peru vs Chile

Possession: 54% - 58% Cards: 1 - 0

0:0

Oct 13, 2023 World Championship

Chile vs Peru

Possession: 57% - 55% Cards: 3 - 1

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chile Compare

Top Goalscorer Brereton Diaz B.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Gutierrez M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Peru Compare

Top Goalscorer Inga C.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.57

Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chile 43 / 100

Peru 27 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Chile Peru

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Chile or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +23%

2.86

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +16.8%

2.78

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Chile attacking → ← attacking Peru

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chile scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Peru let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Chile went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Peru lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 30

1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.63

1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13