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Chile W vs Argentina W

World World

Friendly International Women 2025 Estadio Bicentenario de La Florida, Santiago de Chile
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Pereyra M.
42'
Urrutia M.
46'
Sub
Lara F. In: Keefe S.
Out: Lara F.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International Women 2025 game between Chile W and Argentina W finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Argentina W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Chile W
20%
Draws
52%
Argentina W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Argentina W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Chile W's 1.81 goals per match outpaces what Argentina W have produced (1.39).
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Argentina W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Chile W Clean Sheet 13%
Argentina W Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chile W Argentina W
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 16 16
Draws 3 5
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.81 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 CONMEBOL Nations League Women
Chile W vs Argentina W
0:1
Jul 19, 2025 Copa América Women
Argentina W vs Chile W
2:1
Feb 25, 2025 Friendly International Women
Chile W vs Argentina W
0:0
Feb 22, 2025 Friendly International Women
Chile W vs Argentina W
0:3
Feb 17, 2023 Friendly International Women
Argentina W vs Chile W
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chile W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Argentina W Compare

Top Goalscorer Pereyra M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rodriguez Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chile W 31 / 100
Argentina W 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chile W Argentina W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chile W found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Argentina W has conceded goals in 58% of their last 31 outings.

Recent resilience: Chile W stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chile W VS Argentina W
1.13 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Chile W

(Home)
05 Jun
Chile W
1 : 2
Ecuador W
18 Apr
Uruguay W
1 : 3
Chile W
15 Apr
Colombia W
2 : 0
Chile W
11 Apr
Chile W
0 : 1
Argentina W
07 Mar
Paraguay W
0 : 1
Chile W
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Argentina W

(Away)
09 Jun
Ecuador W
0 : 1
Argentina W
05 Jun
Argentina W
1 : 1
Peru W
18 Apr
Argentina W
0 : 0
Colombia W
14 Apr
Venezuela W
1 : 2
Argentina W
11 Apr
Chile W
0 : 1
Argentina W
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