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Chile W vs Paraguay W Prediction & H2H Stats

South America South America

CONMEBOL Nations League Women Estadio El Teniente, Rancagua
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Aedo Y.
Assist: Pardo V.
50'
Garcete D.
65'
Sub
Lopez N. In: Pino G.
Out: Lopez N.

AI Match Summary

Chile W in this CONMEBOL Nations League Women matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chile W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Chile W
15%
Draws
46%
Paraguay W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Paraguay W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Paraguay W haven't matched Chile W's recent run of results.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Paraguay W taking it.
  • Regular CONMEBOL Nations League Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Chile W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Chile W Clean Sheet 23%
Paraguay W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chile W Paraguay W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 16 11
Draws 3 2
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 1.81 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Friendly International Women
Paraguay W vs Chile W
0:1
Mar 4, 2026 Friendly International Women
Paraguay W vs Chile W
0:1
Dec 2, 2025 CONMEBOL Nations League Women
Chile W vs Paraguay W
1:0
Jul 28, 2025 Copa América Women
Chile W vs Paraguay W
0:1
Jul 15, 2024 Friendly International Women
Paraguay W vs Chile W
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chile W Compare

Top Goalscorer Aedo Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Paraguay W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chile W 29 / 100
Paraguay W 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chile W Paraguay W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paraguay W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chile W's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Paraguay W has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Chile W has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chile W VS Paraguay W
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Chile W

(Home)
05 Jun
Chile W
1 : 2
Ecuador W
18 Apr
Uruguay W
1 : 3
Chile W
15 Apr
Colombia W
2 : 0
Chile W
11 Apr
Chile W
0 : 1
Argentina W
07 Mar
Paraguay W
0 : 1
Chile W
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Paraguay W

(Away)
12 Jul
Penarol W
1 : 2
Paraguay W
09 Jul
Palmeiras W
3 : 0
Paraguay W
09 Jun
Paraguay W
3 : 4
Colombia W
05 Jun
Bolivia W
0 : 8
Paraguay W
14 Apr
Peru W
1 : 1
Paraguay W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colombia W 8 6 2 0 16:7 20
2 Argentina W 8 5 3 0 18:5 18
3 Venezuela W 8 3 3 2 19:6 12
4 Ecuador W 8 3 2 3 8:6 11
5 Peru W 8 3 2 3 12:15 11
6 Paraguay W 8 3 1 4 17:11 10
7 Chile W 8 3 1 4 11:9 10
8 Uruguay W 8 1 3 4 7:11 6
9 Bolivia W 8 0 1 7 2:40 1
Promotion - World Cup Women (Main)
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion)