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Chilpancingo vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie B 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga Premier Serie B 2022/2023 game between Chilpancingo and Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chilpancingo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Chilpancingo
20%
Draws
33%
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chilpancingo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 a 33% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga Premier Serie B 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Chilpancingo Clean Sheet 20%
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chilpancingo Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2
Matches Played 39 30
Wins 14 19
Draws 10 3
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.28 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.54 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2023 Liga Premier Serie B
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 vs Chilpancingo
2:1
Jan 21, 2023 Liga Premier Serie B
Chilpancingo vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2
2:1
Sep 6, 2022 Liga Premier Serie B
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 vs Chilpancingo
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chilpancingo 28 / 100
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chilpancingo Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.67 goals as a typical output.

Chilpancingo found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (39 games).

Chilpancingo has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Chilpancingo VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Chilpancingo

(Home)
11 Apr
Ciervos
1 : 2
Chilpancingo
28 Mar
Chilpancingo
2 : 1
Correcaminos 2
22 Mar
Calor De San Pedro
4 : 0
Chilpancingo
14 Mar
Chilpancingo
1 : 1
Zitacuaro
06 Mar
Atletico Hidalgo
0 : 1
Chilpancingo
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Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2

(Away)
07 May
Calor De San Pedro
4 : 3
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2
01 May
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2
2 : 0
Calor De San Pedro
22 Apr
Tho Mayas
1 : 3
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2
16 Apr
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2
3 : 3
Tho Mayas
08 Apr
Calor De San Pedro
3 : 2
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Calor De San Pedro 10 7 2 1 20:5 24
2 Tho Mayas 10 6 3 1 17:6 23
3 Pioneros 10 6 2 2 18:6 20
4 Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2 10 5 2 3 19:4 17
5 Chilpancingo 10 5 2 3 14:12 16
6 Huracanes Izcalli 10 4 2 4 15:15 15
7 Mazorqueros 10 4 1 5 13:13 15
8 Zitacuaro 10 3 4 3 15:12 12
9 Atl. Angelopolis 10 3 0 7 8:26 9
10 Ciervos 10 1 1 8 14:30 6
11 Canoneros FC 10 1 1 8 9:33 4
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie B 2022/2023 (Clausura - Play Offs)