Sport Picks
Chilpancingo vs Atletico Hidalgo
Mexico
Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 
Match Events
24'
24'
Gerez B.
76'
76'
Ayala J.
79'
79'
Radilla O.
AI Match Summary
The Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 game between Chilpancingo and Atletico Hidalgo finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chilpancingo.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chilpancingo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Atletico Hidalgo haven't matched Chilpancingo's recent run of results.
- 85% — that's where the model lands on Chilpancingo taking it.
- Regular Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Chilpancingo Clean Sheet 17%
Atletico Hidalgo Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chilpancingo | Atletico Hidalgo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 26 |
| Wins | 12 | 4 |
| Draws | 8 | 4 |
| Losses | 10 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.3 | 0.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 2.42 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 6, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Atletico Hidalgo vs Chilpancingo
0:1
Oct 18, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Chilpancingo vs Atletico Hidalgo
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chilpancingo Compare
Top Goalscorer Ayala J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Radilla O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Atletico Hidalgo Compare
Top Goalscorer Gerez B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chilpancingo 84 / 100
Atletico Hidalgo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chilpancingo Atletico Hidalgo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Chilpancingo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Atletico Hidalgo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 85% of 26 matches.
Atletico Hidalgo's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.
Attacking prowess: Chilpancingo scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 2.50 goals.
Scoring Trends
Chilpancingo VS Atletico Hidalgo
1 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Chilpancingo
(Home) 11 Apr
Ciervos
1 : 2 Chilpancingo
28 Mar
Chilpancingo
2 : 1 Correcaminos 2
22 Mar
Calor De San Pedro
4 : 0 Chilpancingo
14 Mar
Chilpancingo
1 : 1 Zitacuaro
06 Mar
Atletico Hidalgo
0 : 1 Chilpancingo
Page 1 of 6
28 Mar
Chilpancingo
2 : 1 Correcaminos 2
14 Mar
Chilpancingo
1 : 1 Zitacuaro
28 Feb
Chilpancingo
2 : 1 Cordobes FC
14 Feb
Chilpancingo
1 : 2 Lobos ULMX
24 Jan
Chilpancingo
1 : 1 FC Santiago
Page 1 of 3
Atletico Hidalgo
(Away) 10 Apr
Atletico Hidalgo
0 : 3 Cordobes FC
28 Mar
Halcones de Zapopan
4 : 0 Atletico Hidalgo
20 Mar
Atletico Hidalgo
1 : 3 Lobos ULMX
18 Mar
FC Santiago
3 : 0 Atletico Hidalgo
15 Mar
Apodaca
3 : 0 Atletico Hidalgo
Page 1 of 6
28 Mar
Halcones de Zapopan
4 : 0 Atletico Hidalgo
18 Mar
FC Santiago
3 : 0 Atletico Hidalgo
15 Mar
Apodaca
3 : 0 Atletico Hidalgo
14 Feb
CS Canamy
2 : 3 Atletico Hidalgo
31 Jan
Correcaminos 2
2 : 1 Atletico Hidalgo
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alacranes de Durango | 26 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 71:16 | 74 |
| 2 | Tigres de Alica | 26 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 46:25 | 56 |
| 3 | Cimarrones de Sonora | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 46:19 | 54 |
| 4 | Leones Negros 2 | 26 | 16 | 2 | 8 | 42:26 | 53 |
| 5 | Tecos | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 49:34 | 49 |
| 6 | Tritones Vallarta | 26 | 15 | 1 | 10 | 32:27 | 46 |
| 7 | Mineros de Fresnillo | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 40:41 | 39 |
| 8 | Los Cabos United | 26 | 11 | 3 | 12 | 37:40 | 37 |
| 9 | Guerreros de Autlan | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 38:42 | 32 |
| 10 | UA Zacatecas | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 32:49 | 29 |
| 11 | Ensenada FC | 26 | 8 | 2 | 16 | 30:55 | 28 |
| 12 | Reboceros de La Piedad | 26 | 7 | 1 | 18 | 39:66 | 23 |
| 13 | Zapotlanejo | 26 | 6 | 1 | 19 | 39:73 | 21 |
| 14 | Colima FC | 26 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 24:52 | 17 |
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Apodaca | 26 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 47:19 | 66 |
| 2 | FC Santiago | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 43:21 | 51 |
| 3 | Zacatepec | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 29:15 | 45 |
| 4 | Halcones de Zapopan | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 44:27 | 44 |
| 5 | Calor De San Pedro | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 37:26 | 44 |
| 6 | Gavilanes de Matamoros | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 31:22 | 44 |
| 7 | Lobos ULMX | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 33:28 | 40 |
| 8 | Correcaminos 2 | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 27:25 | 36 |
| 9 | Chilpancingo | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 33:41 | 35 |
| 10 | Cordobes FC | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 29:30 | 30 |
| 11 | Zitacuaro | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 22:31 | 28 |
| 12 | CS Canamy | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 33:53 | 26 |
| 13 | Ciervos | 26 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 20:50 | 18 |
| 14 | Atletico Hidalgo | 26 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 22:62 | 16 |
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing de Veracruz | 24 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 55:9 | 71 |
| 2 | Deportiva Venados | 24 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 61:25 | 52 |
| 3 | Tapachula | 24 | 13 | 0 | 11 | 51:35 | 44 |
| 4 | Celaya | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 42:32 | 43 |
| 5 | Inter Playa Del Carmen | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 35:28 | 42 |
| 6 | Montaneses | 24 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 35:28 | 38 |
| 7 | Pioneros | 24 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 35:35 | 35 |
| 8 | Jaguares De Chiapas | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 33:32 | 34 |
| 9 | Heroes de Zaci | 24 | 10 | 2 | 12 | 33:46 | 34 |
| 10 | Chapulineros | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 21:33 | 23 |
| 11 | Canoneros FC | 24 | 7 | 1 | 16 | 25:49 | 22 |
| 12 | Neza FC | 24 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 25:73 | 19 |
| 13 | Dragones Toluca | 24 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 21:47 | 17 |
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
