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Chilpancingo vs Ciervos

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026
Chilpancingo Logo

Chilpancingo

1 - 1
FT
Ciervos Logo

Ciervos

Our Tip

Match Events

65' Event
Echezarreta A.
69' Event
Anchico J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Chilpancingo
20%
Draws
7%
Ciervos
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chilpancingo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Chilpancingo lately — more wins on the board than Ciervos.
  • Model gives Chilpancingo a 73% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Chilpancingo have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Chilpancingo Clean Sheet 16%
Ciervos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chilpancingo Ciervos
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 5
Draws 8 4
Losses 10 20
Goals Scored 1.3 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Ciervos vs Chilpancingo
1:2
Nov 22, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Chilpancingo vs Ciervos
1:1
Apr 13, 2024 Liga Premier Serie B
Chilpancingo vs Ciervos
3:0
Nov 11, 2023 Liga Premier Serie B
Ciervos vs Chilpancingo
0:3
Feb 4, 2023 Liga Premier Serie B
Chilpancingo vs Ciervos
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chilpancingo Compare

Top Goalscorer Echezarreta A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Ciervos Compare

Top Goalscorer Anchico J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chilpancingo 84 / 100
Ciervos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chilpancingo Ciervos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chilpancingo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ciervos conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Chilpancingo scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Chilpancingo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chilpancingo VS Ciervos
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Chilpancingo

(Home)
11 Apr
Ciervos
1 : 2
Chilpancingo
28 Mar
Chilpancingo
2 : 1
Correcaminos 2
22 Mar
Calor De San Pedro
4 : 0
Chilpancingo
14 Mar
Chilpancingo
1 : 1
Zitacuaro
06 Mar
Atletico Hidalgo
0 : 1
Chilpancingo
Page 1 of 6

Ciervos

(Away)
29 Aug
Ciervos
0 : 2
Dragones de Oaxaca
11 Apr
Ciervos
1 : 2
Chilpancingo
31 Mar
FC Santiago
5 : 0
Ciervos
21 Mar
Ciervos
2 : 3
Zacatepec
14 Mar
CS Canamy
1 : 1
Ciervos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alacranes de Durango 26 21 2 3 71:16 74
2 Tigres de Alica 26 17 3 6 46:25 56
3 Cimarrones de Sonora 26 15 7 4 46:19 54
4 Leones Negros 2 26 16 2 8 42:26 53
5 Tecos 26 14 4 8 49:34 49
6 Tritones Vallarta 26 15 1 10 32:27 46
7 Mineros de Fresnillo 26 11 4 11 40:41 39
8 Los Cabos United 26 11 3 12 37:40 37
9 Guerreros de Autlan 26 8 5 13 38:42 32
10 UA Zacatecas 26 8 4 14 32:49 29
11 Ensenada FC 26 8 2 16 30:55 28
12 Reboceros de La Piedad 26 7 1 18 39:66 23
13 Zapotlanejo 26 6 1 19 39:73 21
14 Colima FC 26 4 3 19 24:52 17
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Apodaca 26 21 2 3 47:19 66
2 FC Santiago 26 14 7 5 43:21 51
3 Zacatepec 26 12 8 6 29:15 45
4 Halcones de Zapopan 26 11 6 9 44:27 44
5 Calor De San Pedro 26 12 7 7 37:26 44
6 Gavilanes de Matamoros 26 12 5 9 31:22 44
7 Lobos ULMX 26 11 6 9 33:28 40
8 Correcaminos 2 26 9 7 10 27:25 36
9 Chilpancingo 26 9 8 9 33:41 35
10 Cordobes FC 26 8 6 12 29:30 30
11 Zitacuaro 26 6 10 10 22:31 28
12 CS Canamy 26 5 8 13 33:53 26
13 Ciervos 26 4 4 18 20:50 18
14 Atletico Hidalgo 26 4 4 18 22:62 16
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing de Veracruz 24 21 3 0 55:9 71
2 Deportiva Venados 24 15 4 5 61:25 52
3 Tapachula 24 13 0 11 51:35 44
4 Celaya 24 12 4 8 42:32 43
5 Inter Playa Del Carmen 24 13 4 7 35:28 42
6 Montaneses 24 12 2 10 35:28 38
7 Pioneros 24 10 3 11 35:35 35
8 Jaguares De Chiapas 24 9 4 11 33:32 34
9 Heroes de Zaci 24 10 2 12 33:46 34
10 Chapulineros 24 5 8 11 21:33 23
11 Canoneros FC 24 7 1 16 25:49 22
12 Neza FC 24 5 2 17 25:73 19
13 Dragones Toluca 24 4 3 17 21:47 17
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)