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Chimik Svetlogorsk vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

Belarus Belarus

Pershaya Liga 2020
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Dashuk M.
(Penalty)
25' Event
Balbukh V.
28'
Sub
Guletskiy E. In: Abramovich A.
Out: Guletskiy E.

AI Match Summary

The Pershaya Liga 2020 game between Chimik Svetlogorsk and Arsenal Dzerzhinsk finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Chimik Svetlogorsk
40%
Draws
29%
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Chimik Svetlogorsk haven't matched Arsenal Dzerzhinsk's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Pershaya Liga 2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Chimik Svetlogorsk Clean Sheet 17%
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chimik Svetlogorsk Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 4 10
Draws 5 7
Losses 21 12
Goals Scored 0 1.75
Goals Conceded 0 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2020 Pershaya Liga
Chimik Svetlogorsk vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
2:2
May 2, 2020 Pershaya Liga
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk vs Chimik Svetlogorsk
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chimik Svetlogorsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Balbukh V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Miroevskiy A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Patsko N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chimik Svetlogorsk 31 / 100
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chimik Svetlogorsk Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arsenal Dzerzhinsk's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Chimik Svetlogorsk scored in 33% of their last 30 games.

Chimik Svetlogorsk has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sputnik26194350:1861
2FC Gomel26185360:2054
3Krumkachy26164646:2852
4Arsenal Dzerzhinsk26137641:2846
5Lokomotiv Gomel26136756:3845
6Smorgon261061029:2636
7FK Lida26971037:4231
8FC Slonim26861222:3230
9Volna Pinsk26761341:5227
10Oshmyany26681235:4326
11Orsha26761330:4224
12Naftan261061036:4321
13Mikashevichi26451721:5217
14Chimik Svetlogorsk26242012:521