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Chimik Svetlogorsk vs Lokomotiv Gomel

Belarus Belarus

Pershaya Liga 2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chimik Svetlogorsk play Lokomotiv Gomel in the Pershaya Liga 2020. Lokomotiv Gomel are favorites here. Recently, Chimik Svetlogorsk averaged 0.63 goals scored and 1.87 conceded. Lokomotiv Gomel averaged 1.86 goals scored and 0.74 conceded. In past meetings, Chimik Svetlogorsk won 0, Lokomotiv Gomel won 5, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 15, 2020 ended 0:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Chimik Svetlogorsk and 1.30 for Lokomotiv Gomel. This points to a Lokomotiv Gomel double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%
Chimik Svetlogorsk
15%
Draws
71%
Lokomotiv Gomel
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lokomotiv Gomel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Chimik Svetlogorsk picked up more points recently compared to Lokomotiv Gomel.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 1.30 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37%
Chimik Svetlogorsk Clean Sheet 19%
Lokomotiv Gomel Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 62%
Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chimik Svetlogorsk Lokomotiv Gomel
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 4 21
Draws 5 8
Losses 21 6
Goals Scored 0.63 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.87 0.74

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 15, 2020 Pershaya Liga
Chimik Svetlogorsk vs Lokomotiv Gomel
0:4
Apr 17, 2020 Pershaya Liga
Lokomotiv Gomel vs Chimik Svetlogorsk
5:0
Nov 9, 2019 Pershaya Liga
Lokomotiv Gomel vs Chimik Svetlogorsk
6:1
Jul 6, 2019 Pershaya Liga
Chimik Svetlogorsk vs Lokomotiv Gomel
0:3
Aug 18, 2018 Pershaya Liga
Chimik Svetlogorsk vs Lokomotiv Gomel
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chimik Svetlogorsk Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Lokomotiv Gomel Compare

Top Goalscorer Solovey A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bondarenko S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chimik Svetlogorsk 16 / 100
Lokomotiv Gomel 67 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chimik Svetlogorsk Lokomotiv Gomel

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lokomotiv Gomel Win (2)
Secondary Pick Lokomotiv Gomel & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +133.4%
16.67
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.7%
1.96
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Chimik Svetlogorsk attacking → ← attacking Lokomotiv Gomel

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chimik Svetlogorsk scored in 33% of their last 30 games.

Lokomotiv Gomel let in goals in 51% of their last 35 matches.

Games between these two average 4.80 goals.

Chimik Svetlogorsk went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Lokomotiv Gomel lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

17 Points in last 5 71
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Sputnik26194350:1861
2FC Gomel26185360:2054
3Krumkachy26164646:2852
4Arsenal Dzerzhinsk26137641:2846
5Lokomotiv Gomel26136756:3845
6Smorgon261061029:2636
7FK Lida26971037:4231
8FC Slonim26861222:3230
9Volna Pinsk26761341:5227
10Oshmyany26681235:4326
11Orsha26761330:4224
12Naftan261061036:4321
13Mikashevichi26451721:5217
14Chimik Svetlogorsk26242012:521