Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chimik Svetlogorsk vs Oshmyany

Belarus Belarus

Pershaya Liga 2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chimik Svetlogorsk play Oshmyany in the Pershaya Liga 2020. It looks like a close match. Recently, Chimik Svetlogorsk averaged 0.63 goals scored and 1.87 conceded. Oshmyany averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.73 conceded. In past meetings, Chimik Svetlogorsk won 1, Oshmyany won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Oct 24, 2020 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Chimik Svetlogorsk and 1.25 for Oshmyany. This points to a Oshmyany double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Chimik Svetlogorsk
21%
Draws
52%
Oshmyany
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Oshmyany

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Chimik Svetlogorsk picked up more points recently compared to Oshmyany.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 68%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Over 3.5 Goals 33%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%
Chimik Svetlogorsk Clean Sheet 19%
Oshmyany Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 61%
Second Half Goal 65%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chimik Svetlogorsk Oshmyany
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 7
Draws 5 8
Losses 21 15
Goals Scored 0.63 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 24, 2020 Pershaya Liga
Oshmyany vs Chimik Svetlogorsk
0:0
Jun 27, 2020 Pershaya Liga
Chimik Svetlogorsk vs Oshmyany
1:4
Jun 12, 2019 Belarusian Cup
Oshmyany vs Chimik Svetlogorsk
2:1
Oct 29, 2016 Pershaya Liga
Oshmyany vs Chimik Svetlogorsk
2:1
Jul 16, 2016 Pershaya Liga
Chimik Svetlogorsk vs Oshmyany
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chimik Svetlogorsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Kuleshov E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Oshmyany Compare

Top Goalscorer Kontsedailov A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Demidchik P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chimik Svetlogorsk 28 / 100
Oshmyany 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chimik Svetlogorsk Oshmyany

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Oshmyany or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +42%
5.26
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.2%
2.04
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Chimik Svetlogorsk attacking → ← attacking Oshmyany

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chimik Svetlogorsk scored in 33% of their last 30 games.

Oshmyany let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Chimik Svetlogorsk went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Oshmyany lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

17 Points in last 5 29
0.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Sputnik26194350:1861
2FC Gomel26185360:2054
3Krumkachy26164646:2852
4Arsenal Dzerzhinsk26137641:2846
5Lokomotiv Gomel26136756:3845
6Smorgon261061029:2636
7FK Lida26971037:4231
8FC Slonim26861222:3230
9Volna Pinsk26761341:5227
10Oshmyany26681235:4326
11Orsha26761330:4224
12Naftan261061036:4321
13Mikashevichi26451721:5217
14Chimik Svetlogorsk26242012:521