Sport Picks
Match Events
8'
8'
Beggs O.
10'
10'
Gilliland J.
18'
18'
Beggs O.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-8, with Dundela advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
35%
26%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Chimney
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
26%
/ Low Confidence
- Dundela carry the better recent record into this one.
- 26% — that's where the model lands on Dundela taking it.
- Dundela arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Dundela, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Dundela here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Chimney Clean Sheet 20%
Dundela Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chimney | Dundela |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 38 |
| Wins | 3 | 11 |
| Draws | 1 | 12 |
| Losses | 27 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1.68 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.58 | 1.87 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.67 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 26, 2013 Irish League Cup
Chimney vs Dundela
1:8
May 17, 2011 IFA Championship 2
Dundela vs Chimney
7:1
Mar 12, 2011 IFA Championship 2
Chimney vs Dundela
2:4
Dec 11, 2010 Irish Cup
Dundela vs Chimney
5:0
Apr 17, 2010 IFA Championship 2
Dundela vs Chimney
6:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chimney Compare
Top Goalscorer Taylor S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83
Dundela Compare
Top Goalscorer Beggs O.
3 Goals Assists Leader Gilliland J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chimney 10 / 100
Dundela 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chimney Dundela
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Dundela Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Dundela conceded in 82% of 38 recent games.
Games between these two average 7.20 goals.
Chimney found the back of the net in 58% of recent matches (31 games).
Recent resilience: Chimney stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Dundela
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Chimney
(Home) 02 Nov
Chimney
0 : 3 Valley Rangers
27 Sept
Glebe
1 : 2 Chimney
17 Aug
Chimney
5 : 1 Laurelvale
18 Aug
Grove
5 : 2 Chimney
19 Aug
Hanover
8 : 2 Chimney
Page 1 of 7
02 Nov
Chimney
0 : 3 Valley Rangers
17 Aug
Chimney
5 : 1 Laurelvale
20 Aug
Chimney
0 : 5 Crewe
22 Aug
Chimney
3 : 4 Downshire Y.M.
07 Dec
Chimney
3 : 0 Wakehurst
Page 1 of 3
Dundela
(Away) 15 Aug
Dundela
2 : 2 Annagh
11 Aug
Ards
2 : 2 Dundela
08 Aug
Dundela
2 : 2 Moyola
01 Aug
Crusaders
2 : 0 Dundela
25 Jul
Dundela
1 : 1 Bangor FC
Page 1 of 8
11 Aug
Ards
2 : 2 Dundela
01 Aug
Crusaders
2 : 0 Dundela
27 Jun
Stranraer
4 : 0 Dundela
25 Apr
Ballinamallard
2 : 2 Dundela
04 Apr
Ards
0 : 1 Dundela
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Ards -
TBD -
Tobermore 0
Wakehurst 1
Larne 5
Portstewart 3
TBD -
Dungannon -
Institute -
TBD -
TBD -
Glebe -
PSNI -
TBD -
TBD -
Glenavon -
Bangor FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Donegal -
TBD -
Killymoon 3
Lurgan Celtic 4
Dundela -
TBD -
TBD -
Chimney -
Harland & Wolff 1
Armagh 0
TBD -
Cliftonville -
Crusaders -
TBD -
TBD -
Newington FC -
Loughgall 3
Moyola 2
TBD -
Coleraine -
Glentoran -
TBD -
Annagh 1
Ballyclare 2
Knockbreda 1
Carrick Rangers 0
TBD -
Linfield -
Portadown -
TBD -
Limavady 1
Sport & Leisure 2
Coagh Utd 3
Dergview 0
TBD -
Lisburn Distillery -
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
Queens University 0
Banbridge 4
Ballymoney -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballymena -
1/16-finals
Ards 5
Wakehurst 0
Larne 0
Dungannon 1
Institute 2
Glebe 0
PSNI 0
Glenavon 6
Bangor FC 3
Warrenpoint 2
Donegal 1
Lurgan Celtic 2
Dundela 8
Chimney 1
Harland & Wolff 0
Cliftonville 3
Crusaders 3
Newington FC 1
Loughgall 1
Coleraine 2
Glentoran 2
Ballyclare 0
Knockbreda 0
Linfield 2
Portadown 4
Sport & Leisure 0
Coagh Utd 1
Lisburn Distillery 3
Ballinamallard 3
Banbridge 0
Ballymoney 2
Ballymena 3
1/8-finals
Ards 2
Dungannon 1
Institute 1
Glenavon 4
Bangor FC 8
Lurgan Celtic 1
Dundela 0
Cliftonville 5
Crusaders 4
Coleraine 1
Glentoran 0
Linfield 1
Portadown 6
Lisburn Distillery 0
Ballinamallard 0
Ballymena 3
Quarter-finals
Ards 4
Glenavon 3
Bangor FC 0
Cliftonville 4
Crusaders 2
Linfield 1
Portadown 0
Ballymena 4
Semi-finals
Ards 0
Cliftonville 2
Crusaders 4
Ballymena 3
Final
Cliftonville 1
Crusaders 0
