Sport Picks

Stadium Background

China U17 vs Australia U17

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup U17 2026 King Abdullah Sports City Hall Stadium, Jeddah
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Mitchell A.
31'
O'Carroll O.
45'
Kuang Zhaolei

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with China U17 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
China U17
15%
Draws
39%
Australia U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: China U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Australia U17 come out ahead of China U17 on wins alone.
  • Model gives China U17 a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Australia U17 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor China U17, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
China U17 Clean Sheet 13%
Australia U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric China U17 Australia U17
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 17
Draws 4 4
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 3.53 2.97
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Friendly International
China U17 vs Australia U17
3:0
May 19, 2026 AFC Asian Cup U17
China U17 vs Australia U17
2:0
Jun 19, 2023 AFC Asian Cup U17
China U17 vs Australia U17
3:5
Oct 9, 2022 AFC Asian Cup U17
Australia U17 vs China U17
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

China U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Shuai Weihao
1 Goals
Assists Leader Xie Jin
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Australia U17 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

China U17 84 / 100
Australia U17 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
China U17 Australia U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick China U17 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

China U17's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.25 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Australia U17 conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

China U17 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

China U17 VS Australia U17
2.13 Goals Scored 2.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

China U17

(Home)
11 Jul
China U17
1 : 1
Nigeria U17
08 Jul
China U17
0 : 2
Tanzania U17
05 Jul
China U17
3 : 0
Australia U17
22 May
China U17
2 : 3
Japan U17
19 May
China U17
2 : 0
Australia U17
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Australia U17

(Away)
11 Jul
Tanzania U17
5 : 3
Australia U17
08 Jul
Australia U17
4 : 2
Nigeria U17
05 Jul
China U17
3 : 0
Australia U17
19 May
China U17
2 : 0
Australia U17
16 May
Vietnam U17
0 : 3
Australia U17
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Saudi Arabia U17 1
China U17 3
Vietnam U17 0
Australia U17 3
Japan U17 5
Tajikistan U17 0
Uzbekistan U17 3
South Korea U17 2
Semi-finals
China U17 2
Australia U17 0
Japan U17 2
Uzbekistan U17 1
Final
China U17 2
Japan U17 3