Sport Picks

Stadium Background

China U17 vs Timor-Leste U17

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup U17 2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

China U17 in this AFC Asian Cup U17 2026 tie, finishing 14-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
China U17
15%
Draws
39%
Timor-Leste U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: China U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • China U17 have won more games recently than Timor-Leste U17.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on China U17 taking it.
  • China U17 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor China U17, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 51.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
China U17 Clean Sheet 20%
Timor-Leste U17 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric China U17 Timor-Leste U17
Matches Played 30 9
Wins 15 4
Draws 4 1
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 3.53 1.22
Goals Conceded 1.1 3.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 24, 2025 AFC Asian Cup U17
China U17 vs Timor-Leste U17
14:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

China U17 85 / 100
Timor-Leste U17 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
China U17 Timor-Leste U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick China U17 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

China U17 found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 14.00 goals.

Timor-Leste U17 has conceded goals in 67% of their last 9 outings.

China U17 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

China U17 VS Timor-Leste U17
5.63 Goals Scored 0.8
0.38 Goals Conceded 4.6
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 80%
63% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

China U17

(Home)
11 Jul
China U17
1 : 1
Nigeria U17
08 Jul
China U17
0 : 2
Tanzania U17
05 Jul
China U17
3 : 0
Australia U17
22 May
China U17
2 : 3
Japan U17
19 May
China U17
2 : 0
Australia U17
Page 1 of 6

Timor-Leste U17

(Away)
30 Nov
Timor-Leste U17
2 : 1
Sri Lanka U17
28 Nov
Brunei U17
0 : 2
Timor-Leste U17
26 Nov
Timor-Leste U17
0 : 3
Bahrain U17
24 Nov
China U17
14 : 0
Timor-Leste U17
22 Nov
Bangladesh U17
5 : 0
Timor-Leste U17
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 China U17 5 5 0 0 42:0 15
2 Bangladesh U17 5 4 0 1 20:5 12
3 Bahrain U17 5 3 0 2 16:7 9
4 Timor-Leste U17 5 2 0 3 4:23 6
5 Sri Lanka U17 5 1 0 4 6:17 3
6 Brunei U17 5 0 0 5 0:36 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Yemen U17 5 5 0 0 24:3 15
2 Laos U17 5 3 0 2 19:9 9
3 Pakistan U17 5 3 0 2 19:9 9
4 Kyrgyzstan U17 5 3 0 2 16:7 9
5 Cambodia U17 5 1 0 4 7:15 3
6 Guam U17 5 0 0 5 1:43 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam U17 5 5 0 0 30:0 15
2 Malaysia U17 5 4 0 1 21:5 12
3 Hong Kong U17 5 2 1 2 7:4 7
4 Singapore U17 5 1 2 2 5:11 5
5 Macau U17 5 1 1 3 3:12 4
6 Northern Mariana Islands U17 5 0 0 5 1:35 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 India U17 4 2 1 1 6:5 7
2 Iran U17 4 2 1 1 10:4 7
3 Lebanon U17 4 1 3 0 4:2 6
4 Palestine U17 4 1 2 1 6:6 5
5 Chinese Taipei U17 4 0 1 3 2:11 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Australia U17 4 3 1 0 13:3 10
2 Iraq U17 4 2 2 0 9:7 8
3 Jordan U17 4 2 1 1 13:4 7
4 Bhutan U17 4 0 1 3 0:9 1
5 Philippines U17 4 0 1 3 3:15 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thailand U17 4 3 0 1 16:4 9
2 Turkmenistan U17 4 3 0 1 15:5 9
3 Kuwait U17 4 3 0 1 11:3 9
4 Mongolia U17 4 1 0 3 3:15 3
5 Maldives U17 4 0 0 4 1:19 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Myanmar U17 4 3 1 0 11:3 10
2 Oman U17 4 3 0 1 12:3 9
3 Syria U17 4 2 1 1 10:8 7
4 Afghanistan U17 4 1 0 3 4:10 3
5 Nepal U17 4 0 0 4 2:15 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 2026 (Main)