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China U17 W vs Australia U17 W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup Women U17 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Zhou X.
63' Event
Jiaqi X.
77' Event
Zhang Kecan
Assist: Zeyu L.

AI Match Summary

China U17 W in this AFC Asian Cup Women U17 2024 tie, finishing 3-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
China U17 W
15%
Draws
31%
Australia U17 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: China U17 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • China U17 W have won more games recently than Australia U17 W.
  • China U17 W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • China U17 W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor China U17 W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
China U17 W Clean Sheet 18%
Australia U17 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric China U17 W Australia U17 W
Matches Played 25 11
Wins 12 2
Draws 2 2
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 2.04 0.82
Goals Conceded 1.36 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.96 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2024 AFC Asian Cup Women U17
China U17 W vs Australia U17 W
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

China U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Zhou X.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jiaqi X.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.51
Avg xA / game 0.98

Australia U17 W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

China U17 W 85 / 100
Australia U17 W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
China U17 W Australia U17 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick China U17 W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

China U17 W's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 25 recent games.

Australia U17 W let in goals in 73% of their last 11 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

China U17 W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

China U17 W VS Australia U17 W
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.17
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

China U17 W

(Home)
14 May
China U17 W
2 : 4
North Korea U17 W
11 May
China U17 W
3 : 0
India U17 W
07 May
China U17 W
6 : 0
Thailand U17 W
04 May
Vietnam U17 W
0 : 3
China U17 W
01 May
China U17 W
6 : 0
Myanmar U17 W
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Australia U17 W

(Away)
14 May
Japan U17 W
4 : 0
Australia U17 W
11 May
Vietnam U17 W
0 : 2
Australia U17 W
08 May
Japan U17 W
5 : 0
Australia U17 W
05 May
Lebanon U17 W
1 : 1
Australia U17 W
02 May
Australia U17 W
2 : 0
India U17 W
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Korea U17 W 3 3 0 0 22:0 9
2 South Korea U17 W 3 1 1 1 13:8 4
3 Philippines U17 W 3 1 1 1 7:8 4
4 Indonesia U17 W 3 0 0 3 1:27 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup Women U17 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan U17 W 3 3 0 0 12:1 9
2 China U17 W 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
3 Thailand U17 W 3 1 0 2 3:8 3
4 Australia U17 W 3 0 0 3 2:10 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup Women U17 2024 (Play Offs)