Sport Picks

Stadium Background

China U20 vs Australia U20

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 Bao'an Stadium, Shenzhen
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Lisolajski Z.
23' Event
Memeti M.
25' Event
Agosti L.

AI Match Summary

Australia U20 in this AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
China U20
15%
Draws
46%
Australia U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Australia U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • China U20 haven't matched Australia U20's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Australia U20 a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Australia U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Australia U20, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
China U20 Clean Sheet 18%
Australia U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric China U20 Australia U20
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 15
Draws 6 3
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.43 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2026 Friendly International
China U20 vs Australia U20
2:4
Mar 28, 2026 Friendly International
China U20 vs Australia U20
1:0
Feb 18, 2025 AFC Asian Cup U20
China U20 vs Australia U20
1:2
Nov 16, 2024 Friendly International
China U20 vs Australia U20
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

China U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kuai Jiwen
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Australia U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Memeti M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Agosti L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

China U20 15 / 100
Australia U20 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
China U20 Australia U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Australia U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

China U20's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Australia U20 conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: China U20 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

China U20 VS Australia U20
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

China U20

(Home)
07 Jun
China U20
0 : 3
Tunisia U23
05 Jun
Colombia U19
0 : 1
China U20
02 Jun
China U20
0 : 3
D.R. Congo U20
31 May
China U20
1 : 0
Saudi Arabia U21
31 Mar
China U20
2 : 4
Australia U20
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Australia U20

(Away)
06 Sept
Australia U20
0 : 2
Indonesia U20
03 Sept
Malaysia U20
2 : 2
Australia U20
31 Aug
Australia U20
2 : 0
Laos U20
31 Mar
China U20
2 : 4
Australia U20
28 Mar
China U20
1 : 0
Australia U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Australia U20 3 3 0 0 10:3 9
2 China U20 3 2 0 1 8:5 6
3 Qatar U20 3 1 0 2 6:5 3
4 Kyrgyzstan U20 3 0 0 3 3:14 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saudi Arabia U20 3 2 0 1 3:2 6
2 Iraq U20 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
3 Jordan U20 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
4 North Korea U20 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iran U20 3 3 0 0 11:1 9
2 Uzbekistan U20 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
3 Indonesia U20 3 0 1 2 1:6 1
4 Yemen U20 3 0 1 2 0:7 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Korea U20 3 2 1 0 7:3 7
2 Japan U20 3 1 2 0 6:3 5
3 Syria U20 3 0 2 1 5:6 2
4 Thailand U20 3 0 1 2 3:9 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 (Play Offs)