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China U21 vs Mexico U21

World World

Toulon Tournament 2018
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Deng Yubiao
28' Event
Alvarado R.
36' Event
Aguirre E.

AI Match Summary

The Toulon Tournament 2018 game between China U21 and Mexico U21 finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mexico U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
China U21
20%
Draws
47%
Mexico U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mexico U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • China U21 haven't matched Mexico U21's recent run of results.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Mexico U21 taking it.
  • Regular Toulon Tournament 2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Mexico U21 have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
China U21 Clean Sheet 19%
Mexico U21 Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric China U21 Mexico U21
Matches Played 22 32
Wins 5 19
Draws 5 4
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 0.91 1.91
Goals Conceded 2 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 1, 2018 Maurice Revello Tournament
China U21 vs Mexico U21
1:3
May 29, 2014 Maurice Revello Tournament
China U21 vs Mexico U21
0:1
Jun 6, 2011 Maurice Revello Tournament
China U21 vs Mexico U21
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

China U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Deng Yubiao
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Mexico U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Alvarado R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aguirre E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

China U21 12 / 100
Mexico U21 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
China U21 Mexico U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mexico U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

China U21 found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (22 games).

Mexico U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Recent resilience: China U21 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

China U21 VS Mexico U21
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

China U21

(Home)
14 Dec
China U21
1 : 0
Iran U20
11 Dec
China U21
2 : 0
Iran U20
14 Oct
China U21
0 : 1
Russia U21
11 Oct
China U21
0 : 6
Russia U21
10 Sept
China U21
0 : 0
Uzbekistan U21
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Mexico U21

(Away)
08 Aug
Mexico U21
2 : 3
Venezuela U21
05 Aug
Mexico U21
4 : 0
Panama U21
03 Aug
Mexico U21
4 : 1
Guatemala U21
01 Aug
Dominican Republic U21
1 : 1
Mexico U21
30 Jul
Mexico U21
1 : 0
Venezuela U21
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mexico U21 3 2 1 0 7:2 7
2 England U21 3 2 1 0 6:1 7
3 China U21 3 0 1 2 3:6 1
4 Qatar U19 3 0 1 2 2:9 1
Promotion - Toulon Tournament 2018 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scotland U21 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
2 France U20 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
3 Togo U21 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
4 South Korea U20 3 0 0 3 3:8 0
Promotion - Toulon Tournament 2018 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Turkey U20 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
2 Canada U21 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
3 Japan U21 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
4 Portugal U19 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
Promotion - Toulon Tournament 2018 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams