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China U21 vs Portugal U21

World World

Toulon Tournament 2014
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Horta R.
25' Event
Li Y.
34' Event
Semedo R.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Portugal U21 in this Toulon Tournament 2014 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Portugal U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
China U21
20%
Draws
47%
Portugal U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Portugal U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Portugal U21 lately — more wins on the board than China U21.
  • Portugal U21 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
China U21 Clean Sheet 12%
Portugal U21 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric China U21 Portugal U21
Matches Played 22 29
Wins 5 20
Draws 5 3
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 0.91 3
Goals Conceded 2 0.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 27, 2014 Maurice Revello Tournament
China U21 vs Portugal U21
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

China U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Li Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Portugal U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Horta R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Costa H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

China U21 10 / 100
Portugal U21 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
China U21 Portugal U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portugal U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

China U21's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 22 recent games.

Solid form: China U21 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Portugal U21 has conceded goals in 45% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

China U21 VS Portugal U21
1.5 Goals Scored 2.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

China U21

(Home)
14 Dec
China U21
1 : 0
Iran U20
11 Dec
China U21
2 : 0
Iran U20
14 Oct
China U21
0 : 1
Russia U21
11 Oct
China U21
0 : 6
Russia U21
10 Sept
China U21
0 : 0
Uzbekistan U21
Page 1 of 5

Portugal U21

(Away)
25 Sept
Bulgaria U21
2 : 1
Portugal U21
03 Jun
Portugal U21
4 : 0
Northern Ireland U21
31 Mar
Portugal U21
3 : 0
Scotland U21
27 Mar
Azerbaijan U21
0 : 4
Portugal U21
18 Nov
Czech Republic U21
0 : 0
Portugal U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France U21 4 3 1 0 8:2 10
2 Portugal U21 4 3 0 1 10:4 9
3 Mexico U21 4 1 1 2 3:6 4
4 China U21 4 0 2 2 5:9 2
5 Chile U21 4 0 2 2 6:11 2
Promotion - Toulon Tournament 2014 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Toulon Tournament 2014 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brazil U21 4 4 0 0 13:2 12
2 England U21 4 1 2 1 6:4 5
3 South Korea U21 4 1 2 1 3:4 5
4 Colombia U21 4 0 2 2 3:5 2
5 Qatar U21 4 0 2 2 2:12 2
Promotion - Toulon Tournament 2014 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Toulon Tournament 2014 (Play Offs)