Sport Picks

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China U21 vs Thailand U21

World World

Friendly International 2018
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Liu Ruofan

AI Match Summary

China U21 in this Friendly International 2018 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored China U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
China U21
20%
Draws
29%
Thailand U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: China U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to China U21 lately — more wins on the board than Thailand U21.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 32%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
China U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Thailand U21 Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric China U21 Thailand U21
Matches Played 22 13
Wins 5 4
Draws 5 3
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 0.91 1.23
Goals Conceded 2 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 15, 2018 Friendly International
China U21 vs Thailand U21
1:0
Oct 10, 2011 Friendly International
China U21 vs Thailand U21
2:7

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

China U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Liu Ruofan
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Thailand U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.65

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

China U21 32 / 100
Thailand U21 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
China U21 Thailand U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Thailand U21 conceded in 85% of 13 recent games.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: China U21 scored in 68% of their last 22 outings.

Recent resilience: China U21 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

China U21 VS Thailand U21
0.75 Goals Scored 0.83
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 67%
38% Over 2.5 17%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

China U21

(Home)
14 Dec
China U21
1 : 0
Iran U20
11 Dec
China U21
2 : 0
Iran U20
14 Oct
China U21
0 : 1
Russia U21
11 Oct
China U21
0 : 6
Russia U21
10 Sept
China U21
0 : 0
Uzbekistan U21
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Thailand U21

(Away)
19 Nov
Thailand U21
1 : 1
Iceland U21
15 Nov
China U21
1 : 0
Thailand U21
21 Mar
Nakhon Pathom
2 : 0
Thailand U21
14 Dec
Thailand U21
0 : 1
Myanmar U21
05 Jun
Thailand U21
2 : 1
Malaysia U21
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