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China U22 vs South Korea U22 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

44'
Wang B.
46'
Sub
Wang B. In: Kuai Jiwen
Out: Wang B.
63'
Sub
Yusup Umidjan In: Zhang A.
Out: Yusup Umidjan

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2025 game between China U22 and South Korea U22 finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward China U22.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
China U22
20%
Draws
42%
South Korea U22
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: South Korea U22

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and South Korea U22 come out ahead of China U22 on wins alone.
  • China U22 are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors China U22 here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
China U22 Clean Sheet 68%
South Korea U22 Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric China U22 South Korea U22
Matches Played 24 23
Wins 9 16
Draws 7 3
Losses 8 4
Goals Scored 1.25 2.35
Goals Conceded 0.92 0.61
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 15, 2025 Friendly International
China U22 vs South Korea U22
2:0
Mar 23, 2025 Friendly International
China U22 vs South Korea U22
1:0
Dec 11, 2012 Friendly International
China U22 vs South Korea U22
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

China U22 Compare

Top Goalscorer Abduweli Behram
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

South Korea U22 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

China U22 50 / 100
South Korea U22 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
China U22 South Korea U22

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick China U22 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: China U22 scored in 75% of their last 24 outings.

China U22 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

South Korea U22 let in goals in 52% of their last 23 matches.

Games between these two average 1.33 goals.

Scoring Trends

China U22 VS South Korea U22
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

China U22

(Home)
18 Nov
China U22
0 : 0
Uzbekistan U22
15 Nov
China U22
2 : 0
South Korea U22
12 Nov
China U22
0 : 1
Vietnam U22
07 Jun
Belarus U21
1 : 1
China U22
04 Jun
China U22
2 : 1
Myanmar U22
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South Korea U22

(Away)
18 Nov
Vietnam U22
0 : 1
South Korea U22
15 Nov
China U22
2 : 0
South Korea U22
12 Nov
South Korea U22
2 : 0
Uzbekistan U22
25 Mar
Uzbekistan U22
1 : 3
South Korea U22
23 Mar
China U22
1 : 0
South Korea U22
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