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China U23 vs Lithuania U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International 2019
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Hu Jinghang

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2019 game between China U23 and Lithuania U23 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward China U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
China U23
35%
Draws
11%
Lithuania U23
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: China U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • China U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on China U23 taking it.
  • Regular Friendly International 2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
China U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Lithuania U23 Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric China U23 Lithuania U23
Matches Played 31 3
Wins 18 0
Draws 8 1
Losses 5 2
Goals Scored 1.52 0.33
Goals Conceded 0.68 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 17, 2019 Friendly International
China U23 vs Lithuania U23
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

China U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Hu Jinghang
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Lithuania U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

China U23 76 / 100
Lithuania U23 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
China U23 Lithuania U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick China U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lithuania U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 3 matches.

China U23 found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

Solid form: China U23 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

China U23 VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
25% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

China U23

(Home)
03 Oct
China U23
3 : 2
Uzbekistan U23
30 Sept
South Korea U23
2 : 1
China U23
26 Sept
China U23
3 : 0
Thailand U23
23 Sept
China U23
0 : 0
United Arab Emirates U23
20 Sept
Iran U23
0 : 0
China U23
Page 1 of 7

Lithuania U23

(Away)
19 Nov
Lithuania U23
0 : 1
Australia U23
17 Nov
China U23
1 : 0
Lithuania U23
15 Nov
North Korea U22
1 : 1
Lithuania U23