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China W vs Bangladesh W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

Asian Cup Women CommBank Stadium, Sydney
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Lu Y.
24'
Wang Shuang
44' Event
Wang Shuang
Assist: Zhang Chengxue

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. The second leg ended 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
China W
20%
Draws
29%
Bangladesh W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: China W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • China W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives China W a 51% chance of winning this.
  • China W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor China W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
China W Clean Sheet 68%
Bangladesh W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric China W Bangladesh W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 15 11
Draws 4 4
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 2.07 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.34 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2026 Asian Cup Women
China W vs Bangladesh W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

China W Compare

Top Goalscorer Wang Shuang
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zhang Rui
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Bangladesh W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

China W 95 / 100
Bangladesh W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
China W Bangladesh W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick China W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 5:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Bangladesh W conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

China W's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: China W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

China W VS Bangladesh W
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 3.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

China W

(Home)
02 Oct
China W
0 : 1
South Korea W
29 Sept
North Korea W
2 : 0
China W
25 Sept
China W
1 : 0
Vietnam W
21 Sept
China W
5 : 1
Philippines W
17 Sept
Uzbekistan W
1 : 1
China W
Page 1 of 6

Bangladesh W

(Away)
21 Sept
Bangladesh W
0 : 0
Myanmar W
17 Sept
Bangladesh W
0 : 6
South Korea W
14 Sept
North Korea W
10 : 0
Bangladesh W
06 Jun
Bangladesh W
1 : 3
India W
03 Jun
Nepal W
1 : 2
Bangladesh W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Korea W 3 2 1 0 9:3 7
2 Australia W 3 2 1 0 8:3 7
3 Philippines W 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
4 Iran W 3 0 0 3 0:9 0
Promotion - Asian Cup Women (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 China W 3 3 0 0 7:1 9
2 North Korea W 3 2 0 1 9:2 6
3 Uzbekistan W 3 1 0 2 4:6 3
4 Bangladesh W 3 0 0 3 0:11 0
Promotion - Asian Cup Women (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan W 3 3 0 0 17:0 9
2 Chinese Taipei W 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
3 Vietnam W 3 1 0 2 2:6 3
4 India W 3 0 0 3 2:16 0
Promotion - Asian Cup Women (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams