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Chinandega vs Jalapa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Nicaragua Nicaragua

Liga Primera 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Medina M.
81' Event
Espinoza L.
88'
Cabria Julio C. M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga Primera 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Chinandega
30%
Draws
47%
Jalapa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Jalapa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Jalapa lately — more wins on the board than Chinandega.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Jalapa taking it.
  • Regular Liga Primera 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Chinandega Clean Sheet 18%
Jalapa Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chinandega Jalapa
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 4 11
Draws 10 10
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1 1.24
Goals Conceded 2.33 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2021 Liga Primera
Jalapa vs Chinandega
1:1
Feb 18, 2021 Liga Primera
Chinandega vs Jalapa
1:1
Nov 22, 2020 Liga Primera
Jalapa vs Chinandega
0:2
Nov 15, 2020 Liga Primera
Chinandega vs Jalapa
1:1
Sep 13, 2020 Liga Primera
Jalapa vs Chinandega
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chinandega Compare

Top Goalscorer Espinoza L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Jalapa Compare

Top Goalscorer Medina M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chinandega 10 / 100
Jalapa 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chinandega Jalapa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jalapa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Chinandega scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Jalapa let in goals in 73% of their last 33 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Jalapa registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Jalapa
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Chinandega

(Home)
08 Jun
UNAN-Managua
9 : 2
Chinandega
04 Jun
Chinandega
1 : 5
UNAN-Managua
27 Jun
Chinandega
3 : 3
Sport Sebaco
20 Jun
Sport Sebaco
2 : 0
Chinandega
05 May
Chinandega
0 : 3
Walter Ferreti
Page 1 of 6

Jalapa

(Away)
04 Oct
Walter Ferreti
2 : 2
Jalapa
05 Sept
San Marcos
3 : 1
Jalapa
02 Sept
Jalapa
1 : 1
Rancho Santana
30 Aug
Diriangen
2 : 0
Jalapa
23 Aug
Jalapa
0 : 1
Matagalpa
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Diriangen 18 13 1 4 36:16 40
2 Esteli 18 12 2 4 34:13 38
3 Managua FC 18 10 3 5 41:23 33
4 Walter Ferreti 18 10 3 5 29:17 33
5 Ocotal 18 7 5 6 22:21 26
6 Real Madriz 18 6 3 9 18:26 21
7 Jalapa 18 4 5 9 21:32 17
8 CD Junior 18 4 4 10 16:33 16
9 Juventus FC 18 4 3 11 17:33 15
10 Chinandega 18 3 5 10 17:37 14
Promotion - Liga Primera 2020/2021 (Clausura - Winners)
Promotion - Liga Primera 2020/2021 (Clausura - Winners)